CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53f93bd9923cabee817de489a9cfb2040abe0439979df95dab268303ffdeb245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TDK | 70c | 6,667$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.41 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.93 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 756.96$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.24 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe163…9d33backed TDK | 70c | 687.4$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c8…50eabacked ex-RUBY | 29c | 677.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 72c | 616.13$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbc…7e80backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 598.28$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.03 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed ex-RUBY | 15c | 569.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…47e5backed TDK | 70c | 555.81$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…f1b3backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 546.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked ex-RUBY | 28c | 478.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed TDK | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 78c | 379.12$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TDK | 72c | 342.51$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed TDK | 70c | 308.11$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…e057backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 296.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 262.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked ex-RUBY | 29c | 207.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…7203backed TDK | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 178.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 164.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 150.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked TDK | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked ex-RUBY | 32c | 133.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…0978backed ex-RUBY | 19c | 105.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked TDK | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ex-RUBY | 20c | 97.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed ex-RUBY | 11c | 97.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 76.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed TDK | 73c | 71.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed TDK | 69c | 57.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed TDK | 72c | 54.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ex-RUBY | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 36.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 36.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked TDK | 67c | 33.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked TDK | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed TDK | 75c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed TDK | 76c | 25.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed TDK | 68c | 25.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked TDK | 74c | 24.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 486 | 52.3%254 W · 232 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed TDK | 73c | 15.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed TDK | 69c | 14.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.