Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70a31e160beaafd1ad05ec3a269db42594aa0f3aa5d8077e847465a579a2d28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof eSports Cologne, Eintracht Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33ec…09e2backed eSports Cologne | 5c | 1,070$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed eSports Cologne | 14c | 982.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.52 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…956fbacked eSports Cologne | 6c | 914.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…a098backed eSports Cologne | 6c | 866.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…b46cbacked eSports Cologne | 6c | 765.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…e54bbacked eSports Cologne | 5c | 612.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed eSports Cologne | 14c | 558.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…8314backed eSports Cologne | 6c | 532.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…8f3ebacked eSports Cologne | 6c | 516.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dac…b29cbacked eSports Cologne | 6c | 485.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked eSports Cologne | 14c | 433.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…32adbacked eSports Cologne | 6c | 363.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…3184backed eSports Cologne | 6c | 346.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dad…4e35backed eSports Cologne | 6c | 289.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…46a7backed eSports Cologne | 6c | 279.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429f…cbbdbacked eSports Cologne | 6c | 272.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1403…6c62backed eSports Cologne | 6c | 256.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…d831backed eSports Cologne | 6c | 229.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4048…d4adbacked eSports Cologne | 16c | 203.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a832backed eSports Cologne | 6c | 167.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked eSports Cologne | 13c | 87.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 79c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.