TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, CYBERSHOKE Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c5a…ff9fbacked Heroic68c16,980$11,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,469.974548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports35c4,807$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.275,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports30c4,000$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2151,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Heroic67c3,133$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.1335153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed CYBERSHOKE Esports32c1,650$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52811637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Heroic66c1,642$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.8857358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports38c1,599$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.193,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed CYBERSHOKE Esports31c1,251$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39250340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports37c1,145$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.256,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports38c1,000$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.544,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed CYBERSHOKE Esports33c986.88$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5687244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports35c903$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7133044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Heroic69c900$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010651.9%55 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports32c800$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2599027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports31c785.13$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.395,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed CYBERSHOKE Esports28c750$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21024429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports27c650.44$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5924538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Heroic50c555$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3236253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports41c494.5$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5632352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Heroic46c468.59$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2575056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x466e…5482backed CYBERSHOKE Esports31c444$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.641060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1403…6c62backed CYBERSHOKE Esports31c426$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.06825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed CYBERSHOKE Esports28c420.02$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11720952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed CYBERSHOKE Esports34c419.7$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6660451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed CYBERSHOKE Esports35c410$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.445244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f32…b46cbacked Heroic69c410$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed CYBERSHOKE Esports29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11623851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe489…8fd8backed Heroic69c392$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.521464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed CYBERSHOKE Esports34c360$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.41,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports29c278.77$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7762738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Heroic53c241.31$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9131452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Heroic50c232.76$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.395,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e16…900dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports31c230$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.31050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Heroic69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6238452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic53c192.17$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.364,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…3b52backed CYBERSHOKE Esports45c183$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.351942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+60.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Heroic55c183$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3514839.2%58 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6048242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a3c…a832backed Heroic69c163$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.531968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed CYBERSHOKE Esports33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.554032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed CYBERSHOKE Esports51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7549143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic65c147$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.632,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked CYBERSHOKE Esports51c145.38$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.031,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports44c130$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.619540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed Heroic61c127$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.695048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019344%85 W · 108 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed CYBERSHOKE Esports32c112.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3643933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports31c109.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3454348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Heroic66c102.51$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.852040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed CYBERSHOKE Esports33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed CYBERSHOKE Esports35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5216946.7%79 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed CYBERSHOKE Esports52c98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9651755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.639237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed CYBERSHOKE Esports36c79.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9246843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be0…8892backed Heroic70c76.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234951%25 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c76.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4416829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a86…713dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Heroic67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6367651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Heroic72c70.17$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4933057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Heroic64c68.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7514939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed CYBERSHOKE Esports33c68.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.892,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xad13…e913backed Heroic69c67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.771947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed CYBERSHOKE Esports35c65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7528852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports34c64.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7540148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.432351.4%166 W · 157 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed CYBERSHOKE Esports34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013445.5%61 W · 73 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Heroic61c51.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0938753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports49c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.932,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d43…c212backed Heroic69c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc283…031cbacked Heroic68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+62.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1438942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed CYBERSHOKE Esports22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118413.1%11 W · 73 L-13.9wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-80.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed CYBERSHOKE Esports23c48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0424747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x563c…0dbfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports28c46.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9910137.6%38 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed CYBERSHOKE Esports34c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.484856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed CYBERSHOKE Esports29c42.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4925045.2%113 W · 137 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports54c42.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6440635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7aa1…bd9bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports35c40.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c04…2c55backed CYBERSHOKE Esports34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a39…1a00backed CYBERSHOKE Esports34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbed…6221backed CYBERSHOKE Esports28c39.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Heroic62c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.626958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Heroic67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.312965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports28c37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.362,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0b…3c12backed Heroic49c36.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.737459.5%44 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb379…28fabacked Heroic55c36.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.227234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports31c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1637841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6dd…c6b6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports34c35.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.046634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed CYBERSHOKE Esports39c34.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdffe…b4d3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports32c32.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4114630.8%45 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed CYBERSHOKE Esports34c31.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6833451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2497…a8f7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports31c31.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-80.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed CYBERSHOKE Esports32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109537.9%36 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Heroic48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.695642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Heroic50c29.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5412368.3%84 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Heroic61c26.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.324748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Heroic61c26.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.324353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.