TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bebopof HOTU, Bebop
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,569 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47b2…ed13backed HOTU0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa839…2718backed Bebop63c9,535$5,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-53.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked HOTU39c7,387$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.443,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Bebop48c5,409$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.971,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Bebop38c5,245$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.6835850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Bebop49c4,978$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.7211550.4%58 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU67c4,454$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.782,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bebop48c2,901$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.1384454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked HOTU45c2,814$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.832,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf50d…7ba8backed HOTU1c2,800$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281921.1%4 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick5cpaid+137.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked HOTU1c2,800$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282321.7%5 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick5cpaid+194.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU54c2,020$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.826,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2357…b74dbacked HOTU2c1,842$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked Bebop64c1,562$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.155855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed HOTU1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19200%0 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Bebop43c1,185$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.538844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Bebop34c1,052$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.6716738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked HOTU2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked HOTU2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16340%0 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked HOTU50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50075056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed HOTU62c998.15$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.682,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed HOTU2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Bebop50c862.39$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.3862350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed HOTU65c790$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.1729647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cff…00b7backed Bebop32c783$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.44850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked HOTU40c777$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.814853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Bebop33c759.95$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.1752636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed HOTU66c750$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49514151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Bebop34c744.16$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.275,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x396a…0c3ebacked Bebop29c718.88$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+83.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked HOTU2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Bebop39c693.22$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.0880744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0284…cfebbacked Bebop24c688$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…a832backed HOTU10c684$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.41968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed HOTU21c683.18$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.911,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop41c631.84$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.644,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop41c609.26$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.235,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…1270backed HOTU76c595$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.2540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU48c590.38$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.627,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x880f…8a04backed Bebop45c589.58$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.494450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Bebop35c577$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.233044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Bebop41c575.98$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.71,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed HOTU54c572.99$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.446843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed HOTU68c568.27$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.6839239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Bebop31c566$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.662,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed HOTU44c564.72$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25048437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Bebop39c512.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.612038.3%46 W · 74 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed HOTU65c510.64$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9276546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc10a…46b5backed HOTU77c500$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.38166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5885…d089backed HOTU74c494.27$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.252475%18 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bebop41c485.5$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.52,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed HOTU69c468$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.5460451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Bebop38c460$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.4539851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed HOTU36c440.47$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4215142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Bebop44c427.71$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.491,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HOTU50c427.45$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.995,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed HOTU51c427$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2338037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked HOTU67c415.85$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.629537.9%36 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1c9…131cbacked Bebop21c412.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.666137.7%23 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9efc…b21abacked HOTU68c393$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.24812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-73.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked HOTU76c385$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.31,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked HOTU48c366.04$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.382,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed Bebop34c364.02$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.15149%25 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a46…97eabacked Bebop25c359$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid+147.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed HOTU53c358$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1546344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad52…b84bbacked HOTU68c357$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed HOTU36c356.47$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3335848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed HOTU67c346.99$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.481553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed HOTU59c339.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.641260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked HOTU53c335.3$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0119055.8%106 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed HOTU57c331.81$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0456732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed HOTU48c323.21$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2628660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed HOTU53c316.67$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3811240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked HOTU60c315$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9948948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked HOTU50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6553545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked HOTU56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16819540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6a…cbe2backed HOTU75c299$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed HOTU60c298.58$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5869863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Bebop41c295.77$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4654439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Bebop48c282.1$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6752951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed Bebop37c272.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.944261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bebop32c269.63$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.241,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked HOTU64c263.31$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3525337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcd7…0a94backed Bebop42c256$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a0…43b0backed HOTU63c242.73$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked HOTU60c232.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5626257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Bebop37c231.68$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3549242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed HOTU22c228.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2213332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked HOTU55c222$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.136253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Bebop32c217.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0226958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed HOTU41c214$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.054010%4 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed HOTU69c211.08$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.651,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bebop53c209.15$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.561,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed HOTU52c204$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5127443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed HOTU80c202.5$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16252947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed HOTU67c199.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.633451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Bebop37c197.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9331440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x126a…2e3ebacked HOTU59c194.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.041723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed HOTU55c186$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7529244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed Bebop50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.