CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f50e8c5fb1a5ef33077d62bacce303b0a7955e60138ef29f7cfd20982275e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof HOTU, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,706 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed HOTU | 65c | 900$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.39 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Bebop | 43c | 844.24$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.24 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Bebop | 39c | 840.04$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.24 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked HOTU | 69c | 651.28$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.38 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bebop | 33c | 636$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bebop | 40c | 513.37$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.74 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Bebop | 54c | 464.68$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 55c | 434.74$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 53c | 321.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Bebop | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU | 60c | 262.37$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 43c | 260.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bebop | 51c | 221$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed HOTU | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed HOTU | 55c | 197.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed HOTU | 57c | 176.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Bebop | 46c | 145.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Bebop | 43c | 115.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed HOTU | 54c | 115.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Bebop | 34c | 98.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed HOTU | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Bebop | 34c | 65.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed HOTU | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bebop | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked HOTU | 73c | 59.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Bebop | 36c | 38.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bebop | 62c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed HOTU | 54c | 27.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 38c | 26.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed HOTU | 52c | 23.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 PlayoffsBebop won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5)Bebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.