TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5885…d089

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2475%18 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.24
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69%+$16.86
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerbacked against All authority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Counter-Strike: STATE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$18.52
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.25
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Counter-Strike: TDK vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Counter-Strike: 8Sins vs EC BANGA - Map 2 Winnerbacked 8Sins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$38.36
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerbacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.03
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$109.89
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.87
Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group Abacked INFURITY Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$8.26
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+39%+$23.42
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.9
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29%+$10.85
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$19.09
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$19.54
Counter-Strike: Voca vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$7.82
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$63.32
All 24 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-4.0wins-0.45per pick67cpaid-71.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.32
Dota 2: Winter Bear vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerbacked Winter Bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: LiXO eSports vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked LiXO eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$7.68
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Group Bbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$48.03
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$401.1
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Gbacked WLGaming Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$53.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.