Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x608160d12fbb1c8a4ca52bc0404e8cb97621f1a148a5aacb0c76813cc69cf918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Shpilitof Inner Circle, Team Shpilit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,078 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x835c…684ebacked Inner Circle | 69c | 1,957$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Shpilit | 46c | 1,164$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.38 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Shpilit | 31c | 1,109$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.31 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Shpilit | 36c | 1,030$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.89 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…3de2backed Team Shpilit | 30c | 977$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…dad4backed Team Shpilit | 29c | 935$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…e103backed Team Shpilit | 30c | 850$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109d…9274backed Team Shpilit | 30c | 822$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Shpilit | 43c | 813.94$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.95 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…5de3backed Inner Circle | 70c | 812$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0734…150ebacked Inner Circle | 66c | 760.12$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…faddbacked Team Shpilit | 30c | 735$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0300…7bb4backed Team Shpilit | 30c | 665$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Shpilit | 68c | 662.33$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.7 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Inner Circle | 47c | 632.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Shpilit | 23c | 624.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.29 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…7e77backed Team Shpilit | 30c | 619$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…99f8backed Inner Circle | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Shpilit | 29c | 599.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.64 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…4921backed Team Shpilit | 30c | 585$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…b33cbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 546$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…41debacked Team Shpilit | 30c | 518$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…6f03backed Inner Circle | 70c | 518$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…dcd6backed Inner Circle | 71c | 503$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…2fc2backed Team Shpilit | 30c | 452$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4643…4166backed Inner Circle | 71c | 432$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…0c3ebacked Inner Circle | 70c | 431$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Inner Circle | 71c | 426$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.46 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…ad74backed Inner Circle | 70c | 421$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Inner Circle | 75c | 398.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3c…0f07backed Inner Circle | 70c | 396$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Inner Circle | 8c | 385$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…e56abacked Team Shpilit | 30c | 360$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…5a9ebacked Inner Circle | 70c | 339$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…61dabacked Inner Circle | 70c | 338$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Inner Circle | 5c | 336.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…c3f5backed Team Shpilit | 46c | 331.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…8ea5backed Inner Circle | 70c | 311$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Shpilit | 28c | 308.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.35 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…64f8backed Inner Circle | 70c | 308$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Shpilit | 62c | 304.28$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…5763backed Inner Circle | 70c | 304$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Inner Circle | 72c | 300.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.78 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Inner Circle | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Shpilit | 26c | 295.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.13 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Inner Circle | 17c | 295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…816ebacked Inner Circle | 75c | 281.07$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…4b45backed Inner Circle | 70c | 273$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Shpilit | 30c | 254.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.99 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…88bcbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…9162backed Inner Circle | 70c | 247$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…5e8cbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 245$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…3effbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 244$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Inner Circle | 10c | 208.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…1745backed Inner Circle | 46c | 208.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle | 52c | 200.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Inner Circle | 73c | 197.32$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Inner Circle | 70c | 197$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Team Shpilit | 34c | 192.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Team Shpilit | 36c | 192.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Shpilit | 28c | 186.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Team Shpilit | 58c | 173.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…3799backed Team Shpilit | 37c | 163.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Shpilit | 51c | 141.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Inner Circle | 63c | 123.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Inner Circle | 53c | 111.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked Team Shpilit | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…1d1bbacked Inner Circle | 72c | 106.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Inner Circle | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Inner Circle | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Inner Circle | 34c | 94.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Team Shpilit | 27c | 94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +86%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…8e29backed Inner Circle | 64c | 93.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Inner Circle | 20c | 93.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Inner Circle | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Team Shpilit | 24c | 75.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle | 38c | 74.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Team Shpilit | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Inner Circle | 55c | 70.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…d089backed Inner Circle | 74c | 67.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -4.0wins | -0.45per pick | 67cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Team Shpilit | 23c | 61.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Inner Circle | 68c | 56.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Inner Circle | 63c | 55.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…52ebbacked Team Shpilit | 30c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Shpilit | 30c | 54.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Inner Circle | 70c | 51.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…6fd1backed Team Shpilit | 32c | 50.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…feb9backed Team Shpilit | 40c | 48.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Team Shpilit | 38c | 48.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…19acbacked Team Shpilit | 30c | 46.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…c7a0backed Inner Circle | 38c | 44.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Inner Circle | 77c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Inner Circle | 68c | 43.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Inner Circle | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed Team Shpilit | 37c | 40.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…921dbacked Inner Circle | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Inner Circle | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…e5bdbacked Team Shpilit | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Inner Circle | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Shpilit won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
- Game Handicap: IC (-1.5) vs Team Shpilit (+1.5)Team Shpilit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.