CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe3b7c33896f49ea1652fc92ad720f6de29269730c8627910519b9efb51f79ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIG Academyof STATE, BIG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,270 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1be0…8892backed BIG Academy | 54c | 1,335$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.54 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed STATE | 46c | 1,162$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.35 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG Academy | 65c | 1,160$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.54 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 38c | 745.73$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.72 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed BIG Academy | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 35c | 516.24$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked STATE | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed BIG Academy | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…6a27backed STATE | 7c | 465.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BIG Academy | 74c | 402.55$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…a925backed STATE | 10c | 396.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked STATE | 46c | 227.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…6b27backed BIG Academy | 72c | 212$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed BIG Academy | 29c | 182.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed STATE | 36c | 150.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed BIG Academy | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed BIG Academy | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked STATE | 29c | 111.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked STATE | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed STATE | 25c | 104.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed BIG Academy | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked STATE | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed BIG Academy | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed BIG Academy | 57c | 99.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed BIG Academy | 70c | 98.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed STATE | 25c | 98.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked STATE | 39c | 96.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked BIG Academy | 53c | 90.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…9f06backed STATE | 37c | 88.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…d089backed BIG Academy | 76c | 78.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked STATE | 47c | 74.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed STATE | 35c | 64.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed STATE | 38c | 61.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed STATE | 50c | 60.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed BIG Academy | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed BIG Academy | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked BIG Academy | 65c | 51.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked BIG Academy | 59c | 51.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed STATE | 29c | 50.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…2251backed STATE | 35c | 50.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked STATE | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked BIG Academy | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked STATE | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed BIG Academy | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked BIG Academy | 69c | 36.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…8973backed BIG Academy | 76c | 34.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed STATE | 40c | 33.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed STATE | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed BIG Academy | 61c | 32.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked BIG Academy | 46c | 32.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked STATE | 44c | 31.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked BIG Academy | 42c | 31.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed BIG Academy | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed BIG Academy | 71c | 26.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed BIG Academy | 45c | 26.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BIG Academy | 50c | 24.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…bce8backed BIG Academy | 74c | 23.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2041backed BIG Academy | 60c | 21.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed BIG Academy | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8905…5766backed BIG Academy | 78c | 19.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900f…d329backed BIG Academy | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked BIG Academy | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs BIG Academy - Map 1 WinnerBIG Academy won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs BIG Academy - Map 2 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.