CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3313d52cad88d1a7f65001f7dc8fd92f1e47fbfb35e7ee77a751e74576ba38b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INFURITY Gamingof STATE, INFURITY Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,538 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked INFURITY Gaming | 30c | 900$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked STATE | 6c | 806.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 69c | 805.21$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed STATE | 46c | 724$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.81 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked INFURITY Gaming | 40c | 443.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed STATE | 42c | 354.46$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked INFURITY Gaming | 71c | 296.45$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed INFURITY Gaming | 30c | 292.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.09 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed STATE | 70c | 282.8$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked INFURITY Gaming | 52c | 270.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked STATE | 69c | 184.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed STATE | 44c | 166.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 9c | 166$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked STATE | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed STATE | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked STATE | 61c | 99.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked INFURITY Gaming | 30c | 92.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked INFURITY Gaming | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed STATE | 22c | 64.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9432…5b77backed INFURITY Gaming | 30c | 61.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +232.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed STATE | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked INFURITY Gaming | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked STATE | 70c | 49.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed INFURITY Gaming | 50c | 47.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed INFURITY Gaming | 34c | 44.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked STATE | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked STATE | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked INFURITY Gaming | 42c | 33.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…cdf9backed INFURITY Gaming | 60c | 33.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked INFURITY Gaming | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…f16abacked INFURITY Gaming | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked STATE | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…d089backed INFURITY Gaming | 71c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…4432backed INFURITY Gaming | 77c | 26.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed STATE | 71c | 26.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed INFURITY Gaming | 60c | 25.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked STATE | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming - Map 2 WinnerINFURITY Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.