TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof HOTU, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,575 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaebf…e1cabacked HOTU36c5,831$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.7735940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x925d…ca00backed BIG66c4,008$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.051866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BIG62c3,376$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.9584454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HOTU35c3,126$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.461,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked HOTU43c2,644$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.6232536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BIG66c2,595$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.462,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked BIG60c2,506$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.1438358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed HOTU33c2,100$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6931,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed HOTU30c2,048$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61436742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed BIG70c2,044$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.1413453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BIG66c2,027$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.2646749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c5a…ff9fbacked HOTU32c2,021$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.654548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked HOTU28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9935850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2603…90b3backed HOTU36c1,866$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.784131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+58.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed BIG66c1,622$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.9210651.9%55 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc667…e68dbacked HOTU13c1,579$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.853231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed HOTU34c1,540$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.611637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked HOTU38c1,472$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.643,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed BIG64c1,400$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50418752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked BIG66c1,205$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5719355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed HOTU23c1,092$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2358651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU26c1,075$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.776,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU34c1,056$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.34,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked BIG62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38010945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked BIG67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33023952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked BIG56c999.98$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.991,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked BIG59c887.98$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.0714853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU27c884.5$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.424,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed HOTU35c837.03$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29334146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed HOTU10c805.46$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.431,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1be0…8892backed HOTU43c779.2$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.744951%25 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked HOTU37c755.01$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.324939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed BIG63c718$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2233044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HOTU35c717$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.955,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked BIG65c696.57$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3821146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4745…d71cbacked HOTU26c654.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.753935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed BIG63c648.41$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9125147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked BIG66c616.98$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.421947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed BIG64c600.1$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.0416149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed BIG59c583.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9919351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06db…1e5cbacked HOTU18c557.01$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed HOTU37c549.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.524429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed HOTU7c520.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4446843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed BIG58c520.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.833141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked HOTU19c515.78$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.223,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed HOTU36c480$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.650340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed BIG64c472.41$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9917758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23b4…7056backed HOTU45c455.49$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.383441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU36c452.78$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked HOTU25c451$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7454346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed BIG63c449$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1339245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked BIG68c437$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1121536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked HOTU18c432.78$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.922748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c9…131cbacked BIG63c428.28$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.286137.7%23 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9b…44c3backed HOTU36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed HOTU36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed BIG68c407.37$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.452456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb03a…ceddbacked BIG56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed HOTU5c392.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.092,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked HOTU12c386.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4162738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked BIG60c384.96$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7633060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd238…ad7fbacked BIG66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.79540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked HOTU35c374.66$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307940.5%32 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa363…4812backed BIG59c340.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.222634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff6f…6311backed BIG67c335$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.551060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed HOTU26c325$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9927443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0111…e0f4backed BIG68c324$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed HOTU7c323.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416050%80 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4296…a9b1backed HOTU16c323.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.61838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HOTU22c304.87$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.45,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed HOTU36c300$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.554032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked BIG66c299.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10249849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed BIG67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5138456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed HOTU33c293$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6922734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked BIG65c285.24$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc97…2811backed HOTU40c280.36$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.564450%22 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed HOTU40c274.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5317644.3%78 W · 98 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed BIG67c268.66$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6611247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed HOTU8c251.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1615259.9%91 W · 61 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed HOTU35c248$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.867651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked HOTU24c241$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7749745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked BIG69c236.14$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.260857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed HOTU25c231.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.497034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc939…6e0fbacked HOTU34c220.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759044.4%40 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed HOTU19c216.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.066848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed BIG68c206.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1817847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed BIG57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868959.6%53 W · 36 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed BIG64c199.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7223333%77 W · 156 L-22.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed BIG66c193.21$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.497245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c5…8511backed BIG58c191.47$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.752454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…ccd2backed BIG60c186.08$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed HOTU22c185$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6824747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed BIG64c177$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc104…5faabacked HOTU38c167.72$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638020%16 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed BIG63c159.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.332147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed BIG63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.737972.2%57 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed BIG63c157.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5923557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed BIG63c156.25$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8121752.5%114 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed BIG57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed HOTU34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.