CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BIG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02891f5dc34ed71ae18741a6ffdd194ee35f1a95961716bad9ab2f1ee8861c16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,262 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked HOTU | 25c | 3,298$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.98 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 72c | 1,651$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 50c | 1,453$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed BIG | 60c | 1,180$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.37 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked HOTU | 37c | 1,094$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.3 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HOTU | 49c | 858.88$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.21 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed BIG | 62c | 811.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked HOTU | 56c | 600.4$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.43 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG | 57c | 510.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.47 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed BIG | 39c | 471.74$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed HOTU | 43c | 467.61$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +16.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU | 57c | 351.87$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.69 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 61c | 300$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BIG | 37c | 276$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…c9f4backed BIG | 52c | 269.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed BIG | 59c | 253.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed HOTU | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed BIG | 25c | 239.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed BIG | 77c | 226.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed HOTU | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked BIG | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed BIG | 79c | 166.57$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BIG | 39c | 165.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed BIG | 35c | 129.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked BIG | 41c | 127.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed BIG | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU | 62c | 100.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed HOTU | 43c | 98.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed BIG | 49c | 97.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed BIG | 73c | 94.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked HOTU | 70c | 85.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…0d64backed HOTU | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…c171backed HOTU | 64c | 78.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked HOTU | 75c | 70.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked BIG | 28c | 70.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BIG | 39c | 65.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked BIG | 80c | 61.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked BIG | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed BIG | 43c | 59.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked BIG | 71c | 56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked BIG | 37c | 55.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed HOTU | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed HOTU | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed BIG | 40c | 47.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BIG | 71c | 45.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked HOTU | 65c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed BIG | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU | 55c | 39.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BIG | 44c | 38.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…b98fbacked BIG | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked HOTU | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed BIG | 60c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed BIG | 40c | 31.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…6a27backed BIG | 39c | 31.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed HOTU | 49c | 30.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BIG | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked BIG | 57c | 26.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked HOTU | 72c | 25.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked BIG | 75c | 24.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…1084backed BIG | 68c | 20.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed BIG | 56c | 18.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsBIG won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.