TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ALGO Esportsof ALGO Esports, megoshort
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,644 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c94…5d75backed megoshort15c1,498$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort26c1,470$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.226,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed ALGO Esports58c1,427$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.3584958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed megoshort2c1,124$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked megoshort29c1,092$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.853,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f0…d582backed megoshort15c897$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x803f…b6b3backed megoshort28c896.26$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.797436.5%27 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked megoshort8c877.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3927947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2e…2014backed megoshort43c660.71$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2814341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed ALGO Esports67c611.52$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5792152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed megoshort41c604.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.325,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked megoshort42c581.26$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1310945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed ALGO Esports60c500.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9916947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed megoshort42c500.71$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.315141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x928a…8044backed ALGO Esports71c497$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3820358.6%119 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed megoshort42c494.5$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.698842%37 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed megoshort29c455$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1285446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ALGO Esports58c455$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.231,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ALGO Esports76c412.93$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.334,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked ALGO Esports75c409.83$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.62,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed ALGO Esports57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17276546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed ALGO Esports58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14710442.3%44 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked megoshort43c343.23$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ALGO Esports60c326.22$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.035,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed megoshort33c321.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.974,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b5…ac7ebacked megoshort24c302.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed megoshort33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9978348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed megoshort14c281.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8280744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed megoshort42c251.93$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1587244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed ALGO Esports59c247$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2711651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked ALGO Esports58c239.81$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8116146%74 W · 87 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed megoshort34c221.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515033.3%50 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed megoshort35c186$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.229840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ee…eb4fbacked ALGO Esports54c183.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked megoshort20c177.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.985,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed ALGO Esports58c171.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.281553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x548c…34a7backed ALGO Esports57c156.6$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.62657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed ALGO Esports67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.256741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc255…68f8backed ALGO Esports67c144.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.252867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa0…c3acbacked ALGO Esports72c138.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.784065%26 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5885…d089backed ALGO Esports72c138.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.362475%18 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ALGO Esports59c118.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.527,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked ALGO Esports73c111.7$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5845956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed ALGO Esports58c111.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.645639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f02…ce9bbacked ALGO Esports66c105.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed ALGO Esports54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4632844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x674f…2c09backed ALGO Esports60c96.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc10a…46b5backed ALGO Esports79c90$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.68166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked megoshort41c85.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.187647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked ALGO Esports55c84.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4612469.4%86 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed megoshort36c83.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48bf…f7e2backed megoshort24c80.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196637.9%25 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed megoshort49c80.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2152947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked megoshort40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3291648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93f8…22babacked megoshort22c77.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked megoshort39c76.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7870038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91c…edcdbacked ALGO Esports70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked ALGO Esports57c70.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.456858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed megoshort28c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.245224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked ALGO Esports63c63.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked ALGO Esports59c62.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6645450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2534…0705backed ALGO Esports67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked megoshort42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed ALGO Esports76c58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9262350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked ALGO Esports65c56.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.714950.3%75 W · 74 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked megoshort41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.532351.4%166 W · 157 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f5…7a95backed ALGO Esports60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023751.5%122 W · 115 L-14.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked megoshort43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedaa…89b4backed megoshort28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1424535.9%88 W · 157 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked megoshort40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024633.3%82 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed megoshort32c49.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.662,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed ALGO Esports53c47.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5531642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf6…b779backed megoshort42c47.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.875736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x451c…4274backed megoshort26c46.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked ALGO Esports68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1258149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e07…3545backed ALGO Esports58c40.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.217647.4%36 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed megoshort28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed ALGO Esports67c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.886764.2%43 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed ALGO Esports60c34.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9119653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed megoshort35c34.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed megoshort35c33.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.995849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed megoshort41c25.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5279951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed ALGO Esports59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.211358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x004c…1983backed ALGO Esports77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac9a…80cfbacked ALGO Esports59c19.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.