CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x107e437360a2e9c68ef16ca5cae95efe59f955d029c1f66ed15ebc967d6e2dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof AM Gaming, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,515 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 100 Thieves | 3c | 22,092$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.38 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 2,050$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.5 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 34c | 1,961$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed AM Gaming | 52c | 1,632$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.97 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked 100 Thieves | 7c | 1,355$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 825.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 603.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed AM Gaming | 39c | 577.7$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.4 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 545.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed AM Gaming | 62c | 527.59$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.73 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 465.01$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked AM Gaming | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…67b5backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 376.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 319.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 314.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 298.73$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked AM Gaming | 52c | 242.34$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AM Gaming | 64c | 238.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed 100 Thieves | 8c | 228.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed AM Gaming | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…4238backed AM Gaming | 61c | 114.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…d089backed AM Gaming | 41c | 107.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 102.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed AM Gaming | 80c | 96.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed AM Gaming | 33c | 84.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…8785backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 84.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked AM Gaming | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 53.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked AM Gaming | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed AM Gaming | 48c | 41.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 40.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 35.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb01…0e38backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 34.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…4ec6backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 33.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…d592backed AM Gaming | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c46…cfbabacked AM Gaming | 71c | 30.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 29.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 23.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 20.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed AM Gaming | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed AM Gaming | 70c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerAM Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.