CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4157c8cef09d36d47c25b5dafdfdacb693ce586f33c6f37cbc0c6a58dc28d8af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof AM Gaming, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,072 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 1,636$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.79 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 962.35$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.26 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 626.15$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 576.77$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.42 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed AM Gaming | 56c | 519.38$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed AM Gaming | 39c | 470.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.82 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked AM Gaming | 25c | 400$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.71 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AM Gaming | 65c | 321.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 290.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed AM Gaming | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 138.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed AM Gaming | 33c | 74.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 65.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 56c | 61.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 52.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 51.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed AM Gaming | 47c | 37.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 34.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed AM Gaming | 77c | 33.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816c…b0debacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerAM Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.