TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, Bounty Hunters Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,528 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Bounty Hunters Esports0c10,951$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.556732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bounty Hunters Esports31c990.46$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.742,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports5c983.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Fake do Biru78c637.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2419355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports14c512.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.36,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Bounty Hunters Esports19c277.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7480744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bounty Hunters Esports21c253.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.13,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports25c196.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8321939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bounty Hunters Esports16c162$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fake do Biru48c107$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.643,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fake do Biru59c86.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.472,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Fake do Biru74c79.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Fake do Biru74c71$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4612469.4%86 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bounty Hunters Esports21c68.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.293,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Bounty Hunters Esports20c66.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Bounty Hunters Esports28c46.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2349376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Bounty Hunters Esports24c43.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3355950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Fake do Biru58c33.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5885…d089backed Fake do Biru80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52475%18 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.