CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69ef10455fa6b28022705b555d7af8dad8220f634e6bcc2858c929374fd7cc21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,090 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Fake do Biru | 45c | 4,000$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.43 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fake do Biru | 75c | 3,092$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.09 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 33c | 1,400$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.22 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 994$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.72 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 940.94$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.52 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 907.05$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.44 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 17c | 764.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fake do Biru | 78c | 750.62$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.86 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 20c | 700.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 18c | 603$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 19c | 543.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a011backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 32c | 403.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 23c | 352.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 292.32$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Fake do Biru | 57c | 289$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.27 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 17c | 202.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 15c | 187$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 54c | 112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 13c | 108.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 31c | 107.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Fake do Biru | 76c | 104.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Fake do Biru | 57c | 88.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 21c | 87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Fake do Biru | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…9a91backed Fake do Biru | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 59.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 33c | 49.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 30c | 48.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 23c | 44.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 44c | 24.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fake do Biru | 75c | 23.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Fake do Biru | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
- Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs Fake do Biru (+1.5)Fake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.