CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f2e92737de91337e3aff5ac1f3ee885c12165b10285c90156119e8782b0a45c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,522 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed los kogutos | 12c | 1,618$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed los kogutos | 43c | 1,460$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.72 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sangal | 69c | 1,320$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed los kogutos | 35c | 1,246$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.21 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed los kogutos | 32c | 932.97$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.01 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Sangal | 56c | 650.74$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.33 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed los kogutos | 10c | 619$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…d8dbbacked los kogutos | 29c | 542.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangal | 75c | 529.51$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed los kogutos | 32c | 502.49$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked los kogutos | 6c | 493$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sangal | 74c | 456.08$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed los kogutos | 8c | 377.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c0…1885backed los kogutos | 58c | 346.48$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…0c2dbacked los kogutos | 5c | 342$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Sangal | 72c | 300$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…3757backed Sangal | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Sangal | 76c | 290.54$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…726cbacked Sangal | 60c | 281$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…0dcbbacked Sangal | 57c | 266$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…d747backed Sangal | 60c | 262$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…7427backed Sangal | 60c | 238$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed los kogutos | 32c | 234$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…6ae4backed los kogutos | 40c | 211$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f0…49bcbacked los kogutos | 40c | 208$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked los kogutos | 24c | 204.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…1da4backed los kogutos | 40c | 203$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b12…d388backed los kogutos | 43c | 198$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…ef1bbacked los kogutos | 40c | 172$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Sangal | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…93a9backed Sangal | 59c | 168.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sangal | 57c | 152.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed los kogutos | 22c | 151$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…4e0ebacked los kogutos | 40c | 151$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc7…0db4backed los kogutos | 50c | 146.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Sangal | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3b…ec45backed Sangal | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…3bacbacked los kogutos | 40c | 136$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sangal | 42c | 135.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Sangal | 58c | 128.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…f10bbacked Sangal | 57c | 121$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ec…86d3backed los kogutos | 50c | 119.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed los kogutos | 25c | 111.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Sangal | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Sangal | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Sangal | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed los kogutos | 26c | 88.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…d089backed Sangal | 72c | 83.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Sangal | 60c | 76.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed los kogutos | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Sangal | 63c | 61.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed los kogutos | 29c | 57.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked los kogutos | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed los kogutos | 45c | 54.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Sangal | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…9b3ebacked Sangal | 71c | 39.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Sangal | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Sangal | 60c | 31.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…bce8backed Sangal | 56c | 30.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed los kogutos | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Sangal | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sangal | 69c | 27.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sangal | 45c | 27.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed los kogutos | 52c | 27.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Sangal | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Sangal | 56c | 26.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Sangal | 79c | 24.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Sangal | 69c | 23.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Sangal | 72c | 22.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sangal | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Sangal | 66c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sangal | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sangal | 66c | 16.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.