CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x149aeec272ec07243c4eb1c8c354edfc47fcb32f6e29da23cf9a3c379f47279d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof against All authority, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Young Ninjas | 67c | 3,792$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.54 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed against All authority | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed against All authority | 34c | 930.04$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.73 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked against All authority | 36c | 922.36$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed against All authority | 25c | 877.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.9 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed against All authority | 27c | 731.72$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.58 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 61c | 689.92$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked against All authority | 35c | 400.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed against All authority | 33c | 344.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed against All authority | 45c | 293.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed against All authority | 28c | 270.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Young Ninjas | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Young Ninjas | 73c | 252$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed against All authority | 23c | 244.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Young Ninjas | 64c | 235$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Young Ninjas | 57c | 211.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed against All authority | 48c | 208.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Young Ninjas | 49c | 188.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Young Ninjas | 59c | 177.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed against All authority | 38c | 170$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…4c73backed against All authority | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed against All authority | 36c | 140.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed against All authority | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed against All authority | 61c | 124.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Young Ninjas | 50c | 119$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked against All authority | 43c | 118.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked against All authority | 45c | 108.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Young Ninjas | 52c | 93.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed against All authority | 39c | 74.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked against All authority | 42c | 71.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked against All authority | 49c | 70.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed against All authority | 46c | 58.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed against All authority | 33c | 52.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Young Ninjas | 43c | 51.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed against All authority | 39c | 50.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Young Ninjas | 47c | 42.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed against All authority | 47c | 41.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Young Ninjas | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…c524backed against All authority | 29c | 39.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0779…5957backed against All authority | 41c | 35.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked against All authority | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked against All authority | 39c | 30.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed against All authority | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Young Ninjas | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…82a8backed Young Ninjas | 80c | 24.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 107 | 75.7%81 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…8323backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 21.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Young Ninjas | 51c | 21.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed against All authority | 56c | 20.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…d089backed against All authority | 63c | 19.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Young Ninjas | 65c | 15.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group CYoung Ninjas won
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.