CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0678d60c1c8983fc6dfbb56420f15fd579a9c4945f9a975c4874b78d1e31b79b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof against All authority, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37d…c735backed against All authority | 20c | 1,560$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.37 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Young Ninjas | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed against All authority | 18c | 974.54$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked against All authority | 21c | 850$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked against All authority | 21c | 747.18$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…7cc8backed Young Ninjas | 80c | 697.23$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed against All authority | 19c | 670.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed against All authority | 19c | 656.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed against All authority | 25c | 645.66$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Young Ninjas | 78c | 630.28$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Young Ninjas | 72c | 593.44$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked against All authority | 27c | 477.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…0af5backed against All authority | 23c | 423.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Young Ninjas | 77c | 388$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed against All authority | 25c | 353.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed against All authority | 21c | 341.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Young Ninjas | 80c | 320$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed against All authority | 16c | 312.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked against All authority | 22c | 300.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…a2a9backed against All authority | 21c | 238.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Young Ninjas | 79c | 227.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Young Ninjas | 77c | 195.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked against All authority | 15c | 178.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked against All authority | 17c | 157.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Young Ninjas | 76c | 150.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed against All authority | 19c | 136.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978c…1467backed against All authority | 19c | 102.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Young Ninjas | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked against All authority | 18c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked against All authority | 28c | 80.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…0394backed against All authority | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Young Ninjas | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed against All authority | 21c | 61.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Young Ninjas | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Young Ninjas | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b64…6562backed against All authority | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked against All authority | 24c | 44.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed against All authority | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Young Ninjas | 78c | 20.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.