Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Kansas Jayhawks (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5033a4c852a08b50c7a6099a5b515456b2efdf6fa58ff204cefbd91ba7dead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof San Diego State Aztecs, Kansas Jayhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed San Diego State Aztecs | 19c | 598.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…e05fbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 23c | 379$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…8664backed San Diego State Aztecs | 23c | 371$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 14c | 279.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 18c | 263.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a832backed Kansas Jayhawks | 77c | 245$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8018…125dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 77c | 193$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…9c83backed Kansas Jayhawks | 77c | 186$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas Jayhawks | 78c | 158.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…a14dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 27c | 152.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Kansas Jayhawks | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed San Diego State Aztecs | 28c | 143.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed San Diego State Aztecs | 20c | 135.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed San Diego State Aztecs | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…594bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 9c | 112.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 28c | 112.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed San Diego State Aztecs | 20c | 87.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 24c | 76.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b17…0b95backed Kansas Jayhawks | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 80c | 50.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed San Diego State Aztecs | 22c | 47.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b569backed San Diego State Aztecs | 27c | 45.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Kansas Jayhawks | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 78c | 40.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kansas Jayhawks | 76c | 39.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Kansas Jayhawks | 70c | 22.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Kansas Jayhawks | 78c | 22.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Kansas Jayhawks | 80c | 19.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.