TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b17…0b95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
23
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: rottweilers vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Abacked rottweilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$19.75
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Cbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.27
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs ShindeN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Abacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.03
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.44
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MINLATE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$16.09
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.15
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs The QUBE Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Alter Ego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28.43
Counter-Strike: STATE vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$17.04
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.07
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$9.72
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$33.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.42
Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$31.61
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubrovnik: Teodora Kostovic vs Alina Charaevabacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Mia Risticbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Kansas Jayhawks (W)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Motiv Esports vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked Motiv Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.