TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c5,075$3,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.724,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c4,377$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.891,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under39c3,546$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.7936850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Under79c2,966$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under43c2,148$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over31c1,725$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.723647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under44c1,681$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.961573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Under41c1,529$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.5112334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4927338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Over63c1,164$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Over28c1,099$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.833548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over4c1,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2646536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over62c1,037$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Over46c1,013$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.692231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over62c999.18$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.491656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under79c996.49$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.363669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb855…90b2backed Under65c979$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.651070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under49c858.87$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over61c839.21$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.923855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over57c808.77$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4612958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under62c801.8$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.0450850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over51c789.57$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.687136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over63c746.03$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4706442.2%27 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under40c722.84$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c700.37$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Over55c667$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3006…2c59backed Over11c666$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4860%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over61c655.8$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over55c599.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under40c567.96$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.552,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010438.5%40 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Over62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over27c468.34$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.042,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24813046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Over61c378.52$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef85…43e6backed Over61c370.49$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over54c368.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e2b…ab92backed Over62c360.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over49c334.78$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.043342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x109b…cc8cbacked Over63c323.3$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Under42c315.67$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.676643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under72c314.96$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over61c301.52$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18430836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over62c297.44$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.512250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under75c279.21$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over62c271.21$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.158955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over61c267.74$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0924653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over20c265.27$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0511632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over58c257.58$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under41c249$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9118628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over45c242.25$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.092259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e0c…0d2bbacked Over25c235.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over40c235.7$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b6…4587backed Over6c230.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.212737%10 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Over36c229.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.47348.8%3 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under42c209.48$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2923749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222045%9 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over63c198.41$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Over55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over60c186.67$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…236ebacked Over23c176$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over59c168.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.583847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under65c168$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.226347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011060.9%67 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over60c165.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec0e…feedbacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under40c157$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.21,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over62c153.07$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.925554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2b…8fa0backed Under80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef83…1064backed Under64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under45c147.73$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2510550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over32c141$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.634748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over59c136.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over43c127.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over59c127.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over60c125.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb389…f59cbacked Under42c122.74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Over31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357240.3%29 W · 43 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c2…ad6bbacked Over55c110$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under41c105.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.393357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044727.7%13 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611256.3%63 W · 49 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606358.7%37 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over58c95.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over62c95.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2312554.4%68 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Under44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.911338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.