TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over40c136,492$54,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,786.831250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under60c39,870$23,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,028.1236850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c29,032$18,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,300.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under60c25,500$15,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,29074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under60c9,801$5,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,920.452259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under61c5,928$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.6321444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6402454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under65c3,753$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.4786455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2008247.6%39 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under65c2,782$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.2650850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c2,256$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.573,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8207045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Under64c1,516$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.6312334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Over39c1,410$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under63c1,290$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.2717747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Under63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49242352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4922454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under59c1,020$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.218850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under64c999.95$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.987055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over25c935.26$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.562,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over37c897.92$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1111632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under61c847.92$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6914948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Over12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over36c712.61$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1510330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over39c674.36$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2634337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Over37c662.97$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under62c640.41$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.412250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Over3c550.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.81520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under60c533.84$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5210153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under63c499.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18533555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over38c473.87$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010438.5%40 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Under61c434.43$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1642254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16411646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1606051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under59c350$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.526454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Under60c330$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over38c319.72$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0423749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under67c311.65$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.051,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c306.84$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.991,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under64c299.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over7c294$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over38c284.85$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.227143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over38c276.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1624653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over12c270$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.64748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over37c269.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.96762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over10c238$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.184,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Over36c232.28$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.623652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over36c226.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.742,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under62c222.13$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.522548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under61c221.97$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5443653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under60c206.73$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6911060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8246453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b6…0bd5backed Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8239749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf934…555ebacked Under63c180.95$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.954100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.611748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2515448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under68c154.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1634144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.412350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.413050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74e…1ab9backed Over14c135.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under61c131.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0123751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.220245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0535848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under59c112$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9210442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under60c111.12$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4511658.6%68 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under65c108.33$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5776048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Over37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Over25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under63c103$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6819946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde42…e01bbacked Over39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3646743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417945.6%36 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4145949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418055%44 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under59c96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.365754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under59c96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3610944%48 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under59c96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3635848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5421…13c8backed Under63c95.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under66c85.21$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.726237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under59c84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4417557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb9…1641backed Over38c81.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.581421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-60.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe7b6…4587backed Over16c80.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.122737%10 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.86051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.812147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.87450%37 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.86850%34 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.