CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf34d96d54e6ed248ba836b9bec1ae7f51542a9da3417e1268141232d74b3cfd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof Lilmix, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lilmix | 45c | 5,287$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.81 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed CSDIILIT | 56c | 3,152$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.05 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked CSDIILIT | 55c | 2,900$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.98 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lilmix | 46c | 2,739$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Lilmix | 41c | 1,135$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.16 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked CSDIILIT | 53c | 681$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.1 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 22c | 674.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Lilmix | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CSDIILIT | 70c | 576.88$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed CSDIILIT | 77c | 500$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Lilmix | 11c | 460.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…bbdabacked Lilmix | 23c | 440.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 323.4$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CSDIILIT | 61c | 316.32$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed CSDIILIT | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CSDIILIT | 60c | 291$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lilmix | 41c | 190.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CSDIILIT | 74c | 185.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Lilmix | 35c | 144.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lilmix | 47c | 123.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Lilmix | 19c | 123$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed CSDIILIT | 56c | 121.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Lilmix | 52c | 120.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 111.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Lilmix | 36c | 107.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked CSDIILIT | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed CSDIILIT | 70c | 104.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked CSDIILIT | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…f932backed CSDIILIT | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lilmix | 33c | 94.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed CSDIILIT | 53c | 93.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed CSDIILIT | 73c | 85.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed CSDIILIT | 56c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked CSDIILIT | 52c | 72.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed CSDIILIT | 72c | 65.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d1…9599backed Lilmix | 32c | 62.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed CSDIILIT | 64c | 62.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Lilmix | 36c | 61.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked CSDIILIT | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed Lilmix | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Lilmix | 45c | 59.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed CSDIILIT | 63c | 58.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked CSDIILIT | 53c | 58.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked CSDIILIT | 47c | 55.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed CSDIILIT | 74c | 54.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CSDIILIT | 66c | 50.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 50.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lilmix | 34c | 45.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…7005backed CSDIILIT | 56c | 44.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…1b1ebacked CSDIILIT | 72c | 41.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked CSDIILIT | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Lilmix | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…d733backed Lilmix | 40c | 37.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b17…0b95backed CSDIILIT | 80c | 36.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed CSDIILIT | 61c | 31.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…e955backed CSDIILIT | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 68 | 76.5%52 W · 16 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed CSDIILIT | 72c | 30.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked CSDIILIT | 52c | 29.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked CSDIILIT | 69c | 26.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Lilmix | 44c | 25.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked CSDIILIT | 58c | 24.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed CSDIILIT | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Lilmix | 47c | 22.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed CSDIILIT | 77c | 21.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked CSDIILIT | 76c | 21.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked CSDIILIT | 74c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked CSDIILIT | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…d8d8backed CSDIILIT | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner CSDIILIT won
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winner CSDIILIT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.