CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs The QUBE Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fefcab6008355e1e42f3427b7c2a908f50566064157fba72452be1a18951ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alter Egoof Alter Ego, The QUBE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,742 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda17…abc5backed Alter Ego | 62c | 2,674$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The QUBE Esports | 42c | 2,222$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.55 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Alter Ego | 32c | 896.01$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.71 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The QUBE Esports | 50c | 746.62$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The QUBE Esports | 34c | 501.42$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed The QUBE Esports | 59c | 478.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.25 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alter Ego | 67c | 326.67$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…45e5backed Alter Ego | 44c | 272.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…407ebacked Alter Ego | 53c | 270.03$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alter Ego | 18c | 184.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Alter Ego | 31c | 154.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b15…d362backed The QUBE Esports | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed The QUBE Esports | 50c | 148.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a011backed The QUBE Esports | 67c | 140.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Alter Ego | 39c | 128.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed The QUBE Esports | 80c | 125.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8e…ca2ebacked Alter Ego | 66c | 122.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Alter Ego | 41c | 121.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed The QUBE Esports | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…36b9backed The QUBE Esports | 70c | 119.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed The QUBE Esports | 34c | 113$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Alter Ego | 38c | 105.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked The QUBE Esports | 33c | 105.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5265…0d3bbacked Alter Ego | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked The QUBE Esports | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Alter Ego | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a8…13e4backed The QUBE Esports | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed The QUBE Esports | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Alter Ego | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed The QUBE Esports | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed Alter Ego | 30c | 90.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Alter Ego | 70c | 86.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b17…0b95backed Alter Ego | 65c | 81.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed The QUBE Esports | 40c | 79.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…946dbacked Alter Ego | 70c | 71.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Alter Ego | 35c | 71.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alter Ego | 24c | 67.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed The QUBE Esports | 31c | 64.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Alter Ego | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…e9a9backed The QUBE Esports | 78c | 57.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed The QUBE Esports | 49c | 57.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed Alter Ego | 40c | 52.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed The QUBE Esports | 58c | 51.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed The QUBE Esports | 53c | 51.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed The QUBE Esports | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed The QUBE Esports | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…1b1ebacked Alter Ego | 67c | 37.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed The QUBE Esports | 33c | 36.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed The QUBE Esports | 38c | 35.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked The QUBE Esports | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed The QUBE Esports | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +3,274.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed The QUBE Esports | 45c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…44ffbacked The QUBE Esports | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900f…d329backed The QUBE Esports | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…a5ecbacked Alter Ego | 60c | 21.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…a6f3backed The QUBE Esports | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee6…0668backed The QUBE Esports | 79c | 16.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed The QUBE Esports | 77c | 15.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.