TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd26e…a5ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.32
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.04
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$30.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$16.66
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.78
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.91
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$6.02
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Cbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.23
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$5.94
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.76
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+103%+$35.04
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.83
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+208.2%+$80.77
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$56.43
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$19.98
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.45
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.23
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.93
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.02
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.36
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.