TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof Wildcard, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$896,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$965,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $896,169 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Wildcard41c152,047$62,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,422.1512348.8%60 W · 63 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Wildcard36c124,686$44,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,578.1513548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard43c45,277$19,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,290.485,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc64f…e677backed paiN59c45,000$26,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,450540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed paiN59c41,076$24,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,841.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked paiN57c35,000$20,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,899.8975652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Wildcard43c33,000$14,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,22021048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wildcard38c27,172$10,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,373.621,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed paiN40c23,799$9,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,297.0510946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Wildcard44c23,210$10,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,182.0714145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c7d…83edbacked paiN59c20,786$12,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,575.151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Wildcard41c14,400$5,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,890.587250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked Wildcard12c12,605$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked paiN58c12,590$7,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,251.8864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked paiN50c11,192$5,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,579.049565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed paiN59c11,050$6,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,530.563360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed paiN54c10,686$5,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,908.8760853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf177…5f6abacked paiN37c10,669$3,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,721.672060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed paiN56c10,383$5,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.674264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked paiN59c10,169$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.4922354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Wildcard44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4005240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked paiN59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1003050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd0…c890backed paiN52c9,990$5,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,800.61838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked paiN56c9,387$5,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,130.095451.9%28 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Wildcard44c8,854$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.810739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked paiN56c8,143$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,582.836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed paiN58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.9942142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked paiN53c7,736$4,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.316854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd052…7ab9backed paiN71c7,200$5,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0881369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed paiN59c6,312$3,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.9225248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Wildcard65c5,989$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.8721854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Wildcard12c5,749$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.4259839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Wildcard43c5,574$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38884958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed paiN59c5,300$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1731457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d2…629cbacked paiN55c5,112$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Wildcard45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2501729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed paiN56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9926952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed paiN59c4,653$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.547943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f8…894fbacked paiN69c4,478$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked paiN47c4,125$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.0735940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed paiN55c4,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.9861948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x568b…4727backed paiN40c3,979$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.142864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Wildcard64c3,917$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.83357.6%19 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Wildcard45c3,898$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.652,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x508a…b337backed paiN59c3,623$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed paiN59c3,500$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4353250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Wildcard41c3,465$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.481,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed paiN35c3,148$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.016560%39 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN41c3,063$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.771,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed paiN63c2,900$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.8317737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed paiN46c2,713$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.123033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed paiN74c2,617$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.3819468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bcd…2051backed paiN60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed paiN57c2,456$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.1419061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked paiN57c2,290$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.74348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Wildcard44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00059755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed paiN59c2,266$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.0633146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed paiN37c2,201$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.6811540.9%47 W · 68 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN59c2,179$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.611,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x111d…21babacked paiN59c2,136$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN41c2,111$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.191,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked paiN59c2,014$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.781,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed paiN37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26057322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Wildcard42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8407943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed paiN56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Wildcard7c1,892$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2317759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Wildcard42c1,853$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.3346555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Wildcard44c1,818$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked paiN51c1,783$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.3348948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked paiN59c1,742$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.4811650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed paiN59c1,685$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.082,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe45a…2399backed paiN56c1,655$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7285446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Wildcard62c1,642$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.7464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Wildcard44c1,609$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1438841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Wildcard41c1,600$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66110454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed paiN62c1,520$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58148851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed paiN59c1,512$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.923855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ada…36cfbacked paiN57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6452100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed paiN59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.9916544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd772…1d8fbacked paiN55c1,469$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.272441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed paiN76c1,449$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.762948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8be4…a700backed paiN58c1,385$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.55253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed paiN37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.357342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed paiN59c1,346$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.6930153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Wildcard42c1,316$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.4349536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard49c1,305$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.632,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ea…36cdbacked paiN59c1,260$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.61788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+49.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN63c1,248$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.492,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed paiN54c1,237$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.3824339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed paiN57c1,229$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.761250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked paiN58c1,206$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.5217954.2%97 W · 82 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed paiN56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5287751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed paiN53c1,200$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5626354%34 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd00b…8897backed paiN59c1,186$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.445151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed paiN59c1,185$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.8688746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af1…8bd4backed paiN53c1,150$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.55143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed Wildcard65c1,147$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.5524262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec9…1e0cbacked paiN56c1,112$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed paiN58c1,089$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.9161154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed paiN59c1,072$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.565546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.