TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildcardof Wildcard, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$307,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Wildcard58c24,897$14,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,437.441,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Wildcard51c14,734$7,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,221.3620354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN49c12,482$6,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,116.081,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked Wildcard75c4,645$3,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.255052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked paiN80c3,880$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10012852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN75c3,489$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.881,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN36c3,488$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2481,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed paiN38c2,398$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.5587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked paiN79c2,395$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.781,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed Wildcard52c2,207$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.1219468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7961…ff64backed paiN45c2,144$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed paiN43c2,000$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.782,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Wildcard76c1,925$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.971,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed paiN80c1,912$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.2588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed paiN43c1,891$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.2840264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed paiN55c1,866$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.052,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN49c1,660$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.492,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Wildcard53c1,637$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.6132552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Wildcard76c1,611$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.641,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Wildcard71c1,610$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.617759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked paiN29c1,434$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.175245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed paiN49c1,416$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.2719057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked paiN38c1,316$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.3416142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe92…4215backed paiN27c1,222$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.871241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Wildcard50c1,144$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.2516946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Wildcard49c1,043$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.6216949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked Wildcard48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.845425.9%14 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked paiN25c990$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd00b…8897backed Wildcard70c956.75$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.755151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b2f…ff10backed Wildcard57c951.75$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.93922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Wildcard73c941.17$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.640253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed paiN21c895.71$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.972,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked paiN49c884$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1649536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed paiN21c852.75$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.285240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed paiN51c774.88$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked paiN7c769.81$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5611221.4%24 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Wildcard48c742.29$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.4254732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed paiN74c675.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed paiN46c646.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.814,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN36c643$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Wildcard79c625.07$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8418654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN27c616.2$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.423,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed paiN23c605$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3321143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked paiN11c597$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6741040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked paiN21c547$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7630223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed paiN6c509.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed paiN52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26016749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…4393backed paiN71c449.3$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Wildcard60c446.12$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.922,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed paiN7c442.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.854822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked paiN26c396.94$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1320755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfe9…4a83backed paiN14c378.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528134.6%28 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked paiN57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd772…1d8fbacked paiN39c349.12$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.682441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked paiN29c348$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7715044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed paiN42c339.86$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.772139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb99c…7e96backed paiN72c315$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.81650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN37c309.51$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.333,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed paiN53c304.61$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0212259%72 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253f…4253backed Wildcard67c296.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.927048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Wildcard71c277.28$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4115346.4%71 W · 82 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7fd…3193backed paiN44c272.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.82236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked paiN75c263.04$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2816963.3%107 W · 62 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0c…5ad0backed Wildcard45c260.44$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4410643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked paiN26c260$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.42,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Wildcard38c252.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7727740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN26c252.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.612,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed paiN42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Wildcard60c232.2$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.523,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaec4…8bc9backed paiN48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.77163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed paiN49c205.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5611742.7%50 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Wildcard71c204.23$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2310658.5%62 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked paiN49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN29c204$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.931,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Wildcard62c200$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.832,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Wildcard69c198$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3838844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed paiN52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN38c189.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.142,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Wildcard48c187.31$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.439548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed paiN16c171.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.176743.3%29 W · 38 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Wildcard40c171.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0127438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed paiN50c167.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5213050.8%66 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed paiN50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809034.4%31 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa817…1c3bbacked paiN63c158.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3f…67f1backed paiN7c157.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1160%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Wildcard64c153.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.082,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa982…09f1backed paiN67c152.62$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fa…461abacked paiN66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Wildcard54c151.13$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.941,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed paiN67c149.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…3e7abacked paiN40c147.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.264548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Wildcard76c140$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.665946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac4…1a34backed paiN36c136.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.451216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked Wildcard72c127.68$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8519548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Wildcard41c123.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0822740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e8…f211backed Wildcard70c122.17$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.254463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN28c116.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.075,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06dc…32b7backed paiN39c104.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Wildcard48c104.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1814546.9%68 W · 77 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d45…1c86backed Wildcard52c103.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.854151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.