CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33ee19c1b78e3a98391de31a01de451cf93dcce010b70b8782f27d1b46bddd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof paiN, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Wildcard | 70c | 2,264$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.31 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard | 69c | 2,084$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed paiN | 30c | 1,888$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.4 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wildcard | 68c | 1,722$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.97 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d72…02d0backed paiN | 32c | 1,442$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Wildcard | 69c | 1,063$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.26 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed paiN | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed paiN | 30c | 888.39$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.52 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN | 31c | 741.47$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.52 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Wildcard | 70c | 571.39$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.42 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Wildcard | 70c | 545.33$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed paiN | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed paiN | 30c | 397.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed paiN | 26c | 390$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Wildcard | 67c | 340$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed paiN | 32c | 294.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked paiN | 30c | 192$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked paiN | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked paiN | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed paiN | 30c | 100.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Wildcard | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Wildcard | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked Wildcard | 69c | 84.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked paiN | 32c | 83.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed paiN | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed paiN | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked paiN | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked paiN | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed paiN | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed paiN | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…86d8backed paiN | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Wildcard | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Wildcard | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Wildcard | 71c | 20.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Wildcard | 71c | 18.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Wildcard | 70c | 15.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.