TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof Wildcard, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Wildcard19c22,600$4,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.931,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Wildcard39c9,883$3,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,821.0321048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Wildcard39c8,870$3,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.477250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed paiN73c4,023$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.2140264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed paiN61c3,350$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.1321854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Wildcard1c2,688$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1232832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN72c2,678$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.492,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcd…2051backed paiN61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.026749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed paiN62c2,314$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.396546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked paiN52c1,742$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.1581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked paiN61c1,694$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.663357.6%19 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked paiN59c1,561$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.4816946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed Wildcard37c1,348$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.796560%39 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Wildcard39c1,196$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.5254732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Wildcard30c1,142$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.3275245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed paiN56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44016749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked paiN61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3909565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked Wildcard1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…a700backed paiN61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3905253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Wildcard40c899.99$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35710454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa982…09f1backed paiN61c886.37$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.68850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed paiN68c659.9$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0430153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed paiN62c647$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8624262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed paiN61c617.47$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.665151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed paiN74c591.75$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8313960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Wildcard39c574.55$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.514247.2%67 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed paiN61c574.3$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.944266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed Wildcard29c562.77$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.879033.3%30 W · 60 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wildcard11c556$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2252837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Wildcard38c545$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.164852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked paiN63c523.99$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.991457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN61c508.58$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.613,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN74c433.03$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.382,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Wildcard5c418.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7530223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf957…bcb6backed paiN60c407.29$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.925837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Wildcard36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14453444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked paiN58c387.29$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6611650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed paiN66c379.05$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8133146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Wildcard7c342.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2766446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed paiN51c339.67$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9835054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed paiN66c320$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.641475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked paiN61c313.55$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed paiN68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1259343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d9…ac79backed Wildcard40c273.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.532352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253f…4253backed Wildcard38c246.97$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.857048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed paiN76c245.24$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.442,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed paiN63c239.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.836446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked paiN63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.13951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad16…6de3backed Wildcard9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1790%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Wildcard6c196.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.492,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Wildcard42c169$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7319457.2%111 W · 83 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked paiN60c165$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6625651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Wildcard46c159.77$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1872139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed paiN60c132.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5320354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Wildcard39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.733459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed paiN61c127.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.731,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Wildcard40c121.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.56855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Wildcard18c120$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Wildcard29c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.42,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Wildcard14c114.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5316142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Wildcard37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9472353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed paiN58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213050.8%66 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Wildcard45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5840950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked Wildcard38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388240.2%33 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbee9…618dbacked Wildcard49c94.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.512240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed Wildcard42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.840457.2%231 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed paiN59c84.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7314546.9%68 W · 77 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked paiN69c78.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7616660.8%101 W · 65 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Wildcard38c77.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.931,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed paiN53c72.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.82,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked Wildcard38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528837.5%108 W · 180 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed paiN61c64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9652449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wildcard31c62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.027,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Wildcard47c55.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.265658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9add…9393backed paiN71c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.483450%17 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d25…1c06backed paiN66c53.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.292055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.925,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Wildcard27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7237922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0df9…0965backed paiN61c48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.721573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed paiN58c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4828843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed paiN60c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3688746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed paiN60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6736749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed paiN65c38.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.625356.6%30 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed paiN63c36.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2669445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN65c36.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN75c34.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.554,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b8f…2aeebacked paiN79c34.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.324837.5%18 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed paiN71c33.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.719468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x73fb…c7afbacked paiN61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed paiN61c31.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.324451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b3a…aaa2backed Wildcard36c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.818044.4%80 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wildcard40c28.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9772…6700backed Wildcard40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed paiN71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2510148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed paiN61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5960358.5%353 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked paiN63c20.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4839338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed paiN51c20.06$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8323161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked paiN59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.220755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed paiN60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc126…4079backed paiN61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.851855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.