MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d2fc404ff56828ed2b6f2ae4cd765de2f608248d6038f4e588b8a2ecaae443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,193,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,441,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,193,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 400,000$188,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,920.31 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 159,823$71,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,920.18 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 145,439$74,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,802.76 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 142,000$78,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,899.99 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 71,866$38,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,998.96 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…748ebacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 55,263$37,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,833.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 51,325$13,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,873.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8c…9555backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 30,392$16,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,542.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 28,382$15,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,071.55 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 22,057$11,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,028.62 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 21,176$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.81 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 13,643$7,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,002.92 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 12,766$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 12,489$6,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,744.72 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 11,535$6,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,405.13 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 10,815$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.95 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 10,256$5,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 8,387$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 8,289$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.87 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 7,850$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.72 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 7,785$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.52 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 7,771$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.14 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 7,282$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.01 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 6,756$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.38 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fe…c916backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 6,383$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 6,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…0061backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 5,352$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 5,300$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 5,203$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.15 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 4,547$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 4,444$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.34 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 3,461$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 3,091$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.39 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…03d0backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 3,089$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Miami Marlins | 78c | 3,078$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.58 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 2,981$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 2,851$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.08 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,800$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,579$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.74 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,340$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 2,250$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.07 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,159$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.34 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 2,125$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.15 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb94…494fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…f569backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,995$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.67 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 1,895$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.89 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,806$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,713$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.15 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 1,563$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.85 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,503$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.34 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,465$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.81 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 1,436$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.56 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 1,426$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 1,412$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,384$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.03 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 1,376$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.36 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Miami Marlins | 67c | 1,230$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.9 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…c561backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,227$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,170$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.93 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 1,140$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.69 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,048$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.71 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…bbd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,014$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.84 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 980.34$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.56 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 934.81$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 908.19$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.01 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 898.08$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.08 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 807.67$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 756.09$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 744.4$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 735.29$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.29 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 733.33$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…de28backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 606.87$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.23 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 592.86$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 578.29$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.48 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 569.97$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.49 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 555.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 526.85$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 521$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 497$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.