MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49b0a859639491ca9b20e53e6a1c873aab2a01ff9e64987f6c3c3387739d9ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 115,479$62,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,275.03 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 46c | 33,704$15,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,504.05 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 47c | 23,769$11,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,171.42 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 64c | 22,875$14,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,244.28 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 46c | 18,051$8,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,303.46 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 17,530$6,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,359.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 46c | 12,848$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,910.1 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 11,231$6,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 11,019$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Under | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 4,452$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 46c | 4,215$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.84 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 46c | 1,850$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.49 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 54c | 1,365$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.9 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 46c | 1,129$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.34 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.07 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 46c | 1,054$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.03 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,016$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.28 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 962$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.39 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 45c | 936.13$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.91 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 861.69$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 46c | 801$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.46 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 5c | 692.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 46c | 632.22$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Over | 46c | 632.22$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 37c | 532.27$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.43 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 528$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Under | 61c | 524.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed Over | 46c | 501.37$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Over | 45c | 471.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 37c | 354.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 47c | 344.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked Under | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 229.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 45c | 224.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 38c | 211.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 198.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 53c | 190.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 47c | 176.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 55c | 176.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 54c | 174.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 46c | 162.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Over | 10c | 153.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Under | 54c | 148.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 133.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 54c | 129.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 106$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 54c | 82.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Under | 55c | 75.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 55.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 55c | 51.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 50.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 54c | 49.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…a7f6backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 41c | 43.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 38.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 32.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 46c | 32.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…b228backed Over | 46c | 29.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 54c | 28.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 47c | 27.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Over | 46c | 27.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…9ccebacked Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 54c | 25.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 45c | 25.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 46c | 23.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.