CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d948ef2b4b9fa6f0f80998c3659653a5f3f05dcaf5d73a5df52b7b7b919aceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof STATE, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,724 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b39…3234backed TNC | 40c | 981.43$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.57 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TNC | 15c | 647.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed TNC | 16c | 602.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TNC | 13c | 555.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 60c | 552.88$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed STATE | 65c | 454.8$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TNC | 23c | 360$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed TNC | 16c | 351.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TNC | 56c | 293.81$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.49 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked STATE | 44c | 193$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked TNC | 31c | 185$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TNC | 23c | 165$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked TNC | 28c | 147$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNC | 35c | 113.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked TNC | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked TNC | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked STATE | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked TNC | 31c | 95.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TNC | 13c | 95.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed TNC | 17c | 88.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked STATE | 57c | 88.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed STATE | 47c | 82.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…e81bbacked TNC | 36c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…e266backed STATE | 72c | 69.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked STATE | 70c | 56.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b17…0b95backed STATE | 68c | 52.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked STATE | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed TNC | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TNC | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed TNC | 46c | 36.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed TNC | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed TNC | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed STATE | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…f506backed TNC | 53c | 20.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9cbdbacked STATE | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs TNC - Map 1 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.