TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group C

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
bond1eof BASEMENT BOYS, bond1e
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,344 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked bond1e50c4,930$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.337,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed BASEMENT BOYS51c3,500$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.993324.2%8 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-51.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked BASEMENT BOYS44c2,400$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.9432536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed BASEMENT BOYS53c2,000$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.7412752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda17…abc5backed BASEMENT BOYS50c1,570$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.119353.8%50 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked bond1e52c1,555$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.8562738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed bond1e50c1,399$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.536654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed bond1e55c990.82$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.876,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed BASEMENT BOYS33c699.98$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9938835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed bond1e33c620$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.45,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed bond1e53c612.12$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.733237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked bond1e57c577.02$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2472,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf370…4f88backed BASEMENT BOYS67c531.82$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.322450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked BASEMENT BOYS75c515$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.5133060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed BASEMENT BOYS53c400.41$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.717034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed bond1e57c338.52$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0147053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BASEMENT BOYS52c326.54$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.754,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a39…fa93backed bond1e51c281.24$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.463259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed bond1e51c249.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed BASEMENT BOYS53c238.78$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.542,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked bond1e37c205.56$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.561,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed bond1e44c199.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9910442.3%44 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e64…284bbacked BASEMENT BOYS57c175.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002070%14 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c8c…2359backed bond1e45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889351.6%48 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2510…60adbacked bond1e65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked bond1e58c146$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6838858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed bond1e56c145.66$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5795849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed bond1e31c128.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.911735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed bond1e36c120.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3530254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed BASEMENT BOYS17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015259.9%91 W · 61 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed bond1e49c104.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.071,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed BASEMENT BOYS33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked bond1e32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6884037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f4…59eabacked bond1e21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7910428.8%30 W · 74 L+12.1wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+99.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40cd…f932backed BASEMENT BOYS51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed BASEMENT BOYS63c95.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609347.3%44 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6db…fc65backed bond1e60c91.08$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.43875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed BASEMENT BOYS56c89.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4652755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed bond1e23c83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked bond1e59c81.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.461,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked bond1e46c76.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4436151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed bond1e49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4319658.2%114 W · 82 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed bond1e23c68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5545224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed BASEMENT BOYS53c64.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b17…0b95backed BASEMENT BOYS72c63.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.44966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed bond1e42c63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5479951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked bond1e30c61.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0841640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d1…9599backed BASEMENT BOYS33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed bond1e60c58.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532035%7 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed BASEMENT BOYS43c57.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd419…0d64backed BASEMENT BOYS48c57.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.485248.1%25 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe725…7005backed BASEMENT BOYS58c56.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed BASEMENT BOYS69c55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9539245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2254…bfe0backed bond1e76c51.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.323868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed BASEMENT BOYS49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.532951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed bond1e67c47.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4332443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x382d…eb3abacked bond1e43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5125250.4%127 W · 125 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d6…d8d8backed BASEMENT BOYS48c45.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed bond1e48c44.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.871,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54f0…6a27backed bond1e50c43.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.492653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd7e…d68fbacked BASEMENT BOYS49c42.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.958653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked BASEMENT BOYS55c42.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.54940.8%20 W · 29 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed bond1e60c41.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9810…b0debacked BASEMENT BOYS67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked BASEMENT BOYS67c37.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0332351.4%166 W · 157 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce62…51a0backed BASEMENT BOYS33c36.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22025%5 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed BASEMENT BOYS53c33.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.886046.7%28 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed bond1e49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.373948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked bond1e51c29.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.141,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc579…57bfbacked BASEMENT BOYS71c27.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.585345.3%24 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92f…6cacbacked BASEMENT BOYS58c26.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked bond1e62c24.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2115352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa92f…58b4backed BASEMENT BOYS70c24.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd96b…be6bbacked BASEMENT BOYS56c22.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.533860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d34…5cf7backed bond1e60c20.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.37933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed bond1e80c20.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1193261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3827…5455backed bond1e61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x576a…b26dbacked BASEMENT BOYS79c18.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-34.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x78af…7705backed bond1e57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…8cc0backed bond1e79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.151764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.