CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs bond1e - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b8492769c8821fa89d326611c8be3e39c9f9d76eda383db1f46a045eaa636c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, bond1e
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,857 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 2,970$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.41 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked bond1e | 45c | 2,231$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked bond1e | 43c | 701.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed bond1e | 59c | 253.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed bond1e | 45c | 173.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed bond1e | 21c | 165.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 132.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 77c | 120.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed bond1e | 42c | 106.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed bond1e | 45c | 76.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 72.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked bond1e | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 59.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 55.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed bond1e | 45c | 55.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed BASEMENT BOYS | 62c | 39.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 31.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 59c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…0502backed BASEMENT BOYS | 79c | 21.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs bond1e - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Cbond1e won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.