Tennis · resolved market
Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4d740f26e5552129a677732c6d2c20d2edbcde351d689e201c73678033b3412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gilles Arnaud Baillyof Ergi Kirkin, Gilles Arnaud Bailly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ergi Kirkin | 33c | 3,212$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 71c | 3,140$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.63 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ergi Kirkin | 9c | 1,942$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ergi Kirkin | 15c | 1,290$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ergi Kirkin | 22c | 1,176$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.67 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Ergi Kirkin | 41c | 916.36$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.71 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 61c | 767.09$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…01bfbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 66c | 635.21$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.97 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…46a7backed Ergi Kirkin | 9c | 599.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Ergi Kirkin | 34c | 564.91$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.07 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1403…6c62backed Ergi Kirkin | 23c | 547.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 65c | 491.84$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Ergi Kirkin | 21c | 470.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…8f3ebacked Ergi Kirkin | 6c | 441.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…3184backed Ergi Kirkin | 4c | 433.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…e794backed Ergi Kirkin | 4c | 418.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9072…efb8backed Ergi Kirkin | 17c | 406.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…0d5fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 77c | 392$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 60c | 386.62$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 61c | 360.64$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…8314backed Ergi Kirkin | 16c | 343.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +525%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…e05fbacked Ergi Kirkin | 17c | 329.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +776.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ergi Kirkin | 39c | 320.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 60c | 302.56$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.02 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Ergi Kirkin | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fa…3277backed Ergi Kirkin | 5c | 225.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 60c | 222.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…a528backed Ergi Kirkin | 16c | 206.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…143cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 60c | 188.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…6849backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 77c | 182$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Ergi Kirkin | 40c | 180.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Ergi Kirkin | 40c | 179.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Ergi Kirkin | 28c | 177.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ergi Kirkin | 6c | 171.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a832backed Ergi Kirkin | 16c | 165.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae0…5c53backed Ergi Kirkin | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ergi Kirkin | 17c | 156.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Ergi Kirkin | 34c | 123.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…97d6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 79c | 105.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Ergi Kirkin | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ergi Kirkin | 45c | 99.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Ergi Kirkin | 14c | 98.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Ergi Kirkin | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Ergi Kirkin | 32c | 93.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Ergi Kirkin | 26c | 92.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Ergi Kirkin | 40c | 92.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Ergi Kirkin | 17c | 88.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 58c | 73.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…8b08backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 78c | 65.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 252 | 65.1%164 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ergi Kirkin | 27c | 63.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Ergi Kirkin | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…063abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 66c | 59.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Ergi Kirkin | 25c | 57.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…b46cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 79c | 56.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 48c | 53.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 151 | 63.6%96 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 76c | 52.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 60c | 48.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Ergi Kirkin | 41c | 45.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…b4b4backed Ergi Kirkin | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 59c | 35.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…5a73backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 79c | 31.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 67c | 31.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 313 | 58.5%183 W · 130 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 349 | 57.6%201 W · 148 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 73c | 28.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 211 | 72%152 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 58c | 27.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 59c | 26.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 76c | 25.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Ergi Kirkin | 42c | 24.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 80 | 72.5%58 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…3483backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 69c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Baillythis page
- Kirkin vs. Bailly: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.