NHL · resolved market
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. Malmoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ffd31004ba4ea7cd25b61ad602adbcb2e21ef4a49722d46a9605d1c0c00deeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skellefteaaof Skellefteaa, Malmoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,325 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc051…a277backed Malmoe | 27c | 390$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…cd21backed Malmoe | 27c | 373$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…0e7dbacked Malmoe | 27c | 353$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…e813backed Malmoe | 27c | 341$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…fe64backed Malmoe | 27c | 334$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819c…15b6backed Skellefteaa | 73c | 272$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…a36abacked Skellefteaa | 73c | 240$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa4…4a42backed Skellefteaa | 73c | 231$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…3af0backed Skellefteaa | 73c | 202$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…c04dbacked Skellefteaa | 73c | 197$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…9c83backed Skellefteaa | 73c | 182$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…db86backed Skellefteaa | 73c | 144$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a832backed Malmoe | 27c | 131$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…4e6fbacked Skellefteaa | 73c | 119$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…404dbacked Skellefteaa | 73c | 118$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…d06bbacked Skellefteaa | 73c | 113$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…8eb7backed Skellefteaa | 73c | 103$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Skellefteaa | 72c | 94.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Malmoe | 27c | 60.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Malmoe | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…b4cebacked Skellefteaa | 74c | 38.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…3b2fbacked Skellefteaa | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Skellefteaa | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.