CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs Zomblers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x482efeb793291a37d506b199c43390f6230796b6ec12d156d343df51f5cd21f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Aetherof Team Aether, Zomblers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,050 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zomblers | 46c | 2,235$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Aether | 46c | 1,751$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.2 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Zomblers | 53c | 1,509$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.61 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Aether | 52c | 1,157$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.8 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Team Aether | 47c | 1,075$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.94 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Team Aether | 46c | 923.72$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.53 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…08e5backed Zomblers | 25c | 716$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…98e0backed Zomblers | 57c | 687$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Team Aether | 47c | 632$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.96 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8fd8backed Team Aether | 44c | 425$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…f5dfbacked Team Aether | 43c | 416$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Aether | 47c | 393.38$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.45 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…e779backed Zomblers | 56c | 381$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Zomblers | 44c | 379.55$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Zomblers | 55c | 348$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9072…efb8backed Zomblers | 54c | 342$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Zomblers | 53c | 341$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…a11abacked Team Aether | 43c | 317$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…4a68backed Team Aether | 43c | 270$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…e913backed Zomblers | 57c | 266$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…b7debacked Zomblers | 57c | 234$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e20…96fdbacked Team Aether | 79c | 233.92$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Zomblers | 54c | 215$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e16…900dbacked Team Aether | 46c | 204$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed Team Aether | 27c | 199.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Zomblers | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Zomblers | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Team Aether | 41c | 141.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2112…38e9backed Team Aether | 46c | 137$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Aether | 44c | 136.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…16a6backed Zomblers | 9c | 120.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a832backed Team Aether | 43c | 114$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Zomblers | 33c | 113.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…a5d1backed Team Aether | 79c | 109.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Team Aether | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Aether | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zomblers | 66c | 86.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…e097backed Team Aether | 79c | 86.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Zomblers | 54c | 74.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8018…125dbacked Team Aether | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Zomblers | 34c | 66.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Zomblers | 54c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Zomblers | 58c | 62.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Aether | 43c | 59.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Zomblers | 55c | 50.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed Team Aether | 67c | 45.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…695dbacked Zomblers | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Zomblers | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Team Aether | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Zomblers | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Aether | 50c | 29.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…81dbbacked Zomblers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zomblers | 67c | 19.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…6772backed Team Aether | 79c | 17.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs Zomblers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs Zomblers - Map 1 WinnerTeam Aether won
- Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs Zomblers - Map 2 WinnerTeam Aether won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.