NHL · resolved market
SHL: Leksands IF vs. HV 71
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c06b2ee5a4d5a1b4157526abc127c584a87aa9451483f44f618e7de5854fd26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HV 71of Leksands IF, HV 71
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,489 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Leksands IF | 61c | 1,838$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…03a0backed HV 71 | 40c | 786$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed HV 71 | 43c | 670.18$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.22 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Leksands IF | 58c | 576.43$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.87 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HV 71 | 42c | 545.06$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.62 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…b1c0backed Leksands IF | 60c | 529$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed HV 71 | 44c | 458.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed HV 71 | 42c | 424.21$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.04 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…3af0backed HV 71 | 40c | 288$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a832backed HV 71 | 40c | 262$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…db86backed Leksands IF | 60c | 256$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…738fbacked HV 71 | 40c | 249$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked HV 71 | 41c | 232.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8018…125dbacked HV 71 | 40c | 232$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…98e0backed HV 71 | 40c | 216$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed HV 71 | 41c | 202.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed HV 71 | 41c | 185.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…8314backed Leksands IF | 60c | 174$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Leksands IF | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…695dbacked Leksands IF | 60c | 168$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Leksands IF | 56c | 161.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Leksands IF | 58c | 149.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked HV 71 | 41c | 147.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…a528backed Leksands IF | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…2d8cbacked Leksands IF | 60c | 138$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…515cbacked Leksands IF | 60c | 128$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…a098backed Leksands IF | 60c | 124$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked HV 71 | 40c | 122.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…d06bbacked Leksands IF | 60c | 121$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Leksands IF | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Leksands IF | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…4a68backed Leksands IF | 60c | 114$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Leksands IF | 57c | 113.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked HV 71 | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HV 71 | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked HV 71 | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed HV 71 | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8fd8backed Leksands IF | 60c | 76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…75f5backed Leksands IF | 60c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed HV 71 | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed HV 71 | 46c | 58.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Leksands IF | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Leksands IF | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Leksands IF | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked HV 71 | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Leksands IF | 60c | 37.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Leksands IF | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…05cbbacked Leksands IF | 62c | 29.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HV 71 | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Leksands IF | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Leksands IF | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.