La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfb305ca6f64eb7d9ab40976f6d80cd8ae5e70c86b7ee74c02afb94fb4f20b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $407,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 33c | 37,221$12,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,327.8 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 36,938$28,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,891.71 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 30,641$20,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,168.77 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 31c | 30,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.95 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 33c | 28,717$9,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,476.61 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 27,424$18,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,756.1 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…18ecbacked Yes | 33c | 18,892$6,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,234.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 16,661$11,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,575.23 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 68c | 14,706$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.88 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 13c | 14,289$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.68 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138f…657ebacked Yes | 8c | 12,633$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 12,266$8,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.49 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 69c | 11,303$7,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.97 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 31c | 8,065$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 7,302$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.65 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 68c | 7,300$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 67c | 7,000$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 67c | 7,000$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 33c | 6,182$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.98 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 69c | 4,907$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.91 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 67c | 4,500$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.91 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 18c | 3,886$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 68c | 3,064$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.25 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 67c | 2,952$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.41 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 31c | 2,835$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 76c | 2,643$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.02 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 23c | 2,515$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 67c | 2,400$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 2,238$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.54 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 33c | 2,222$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.26 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 2,200$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.07 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 1,992$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.68 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 11c | 1,780$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 67c | 1,668$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.51 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 5c | 1,636$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed No | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.99 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…956ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,501$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfa…1d81backed Yes | 33c | 1,485$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Yes | 31c | 1,475$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 67c | 1,444$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 31c | 1,430$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.3 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…b044backed No | 69c | 1,430$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 31c | 1,407$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.03 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 1,395$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 69c | 1,220$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 67c | 1,195$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.43 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0344backed Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 80c | 1,131$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.93 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 69c | 1,111$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Yes | 33c | 1,071$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.38 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 1,059$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.91 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…676ebacked Yes | 31c | 967$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 22c | 900$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 67c | 899.93$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.83 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 75c | 847.09$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 32c | 800.06$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.02 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…25ffbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 78c | 750$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 3c | 682.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 42.2%68 W · 93 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 657.72$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 635.71$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.03 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…b523backed Yes | 33c | 623.97$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 591.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…b412backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 24c | 551.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 521.09$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 67c | 520$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 67c | 520$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 499.98$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.99 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 4c | 490.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 67c | 480$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…681bbacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 67c | 460$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 128 | 63.3%81 W · 47 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 452.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Yes | 33c | 424.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.