La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c80eada22bd6fd095973c29192787033ab66f4a60a59c1dd7fe034be3ffa4eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 11c | 28,085$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.46 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 20,258$8,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,268.64 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e3…4bb2backed Yes | 41c | 13,000$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,669.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 60c | 12,424$7,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,454.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 12,207$7,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,403.31 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 22c | 10,309$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 39c | 9,703$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.02 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 57c | 8,519$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.14 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 40c | 8,170$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,902.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 7,067$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.03 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 42c | 6,777$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.18 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 2c | 6,743$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Yes | 42c | 6,335$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +253.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 43c | 5,900$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.35 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 29c | 5,249$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.54 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 63c | 5,231$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 14c | 4,870$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.84 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 4,422$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.21 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed No | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 60c | 3,752$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.2 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.43 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…58e1backed Yes | 39c | 3,200$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed No | 60c | 3,126$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.33 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x601f…c5e6backed Yes | 39c | 3,109$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.93 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Yes | 74c | 2,859$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.93 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 41c | 2,712$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.26 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 60c | 2,614$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.35 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 12c | 2,536$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.25 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 37c | 2,222$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.86 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…bba8backed No | 63c | 2,189$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…e04cbacked No | 63c | 2,132$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 2,013$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.31 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…0b5ebacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb56…392bbacked No | 63c | 1,987$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.22 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,862$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.54 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 40c | 1,681$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.41 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 19c | 1,553$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.52 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 60c | 1,500$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked No | 60c | 1,474$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 33c | 1,423$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.06 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 1,413$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 14c | 1,393$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.59 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 14c | 1,382$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…bd26backed Yes | 74c | 1,343$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 42c | 1,290$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.46 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,240$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.15 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,158$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.03 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 43c | 1,128$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.91 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 1,107$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.18 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 24c | 1,097$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.58 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 28c | 1,083$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 1,030$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.86 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…8db0backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 60c | 974.94$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.96 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Yes | 40c | 945$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked No | 63c | 944.44$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 43c | 931.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed No | 46c | 862.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 38c | 855$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.24 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c85…cb03backed No | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…8713backed Yes | 39c | 790$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…53d0backed Yes | 39c | 769.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…63ddbacked Yes | 78c | 765.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…e0d5backed No | 61c | 760$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked No | 60c | 702.87$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 7c | 690$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3d27backed Yes | 42c | 667.5$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked No | 61c | 655.69$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 80c | 624.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 61c | 619.95$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.57 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 40c | 611$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 40c | 580$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Yes | 45c | 516.42$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.42 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 39c | 512.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.92 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 16c | 502.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 43c | 500.4$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?No won
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.