Fifa International · resolved market
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb73be2d08d6ac8ecba782328991ca49aec7c4f2e5e5942af28ed0353b11e888d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 10,723$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.62 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Yes | 16c | 7,951$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.09 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…59dbbacked Yes | 14c | 3,335$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.55 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 21c | 1,951$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 1,849$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.58 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Yes | 17c | 1,782$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.89 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 16c | 1,696$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.88 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 13c | 1,439$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 1,347$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 1,315$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.04 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 1,104$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.68 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 19c | 698.92$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 16c | 588.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 26c | 587.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 80c | 570.23$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 14c | 548.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…9e00backed Yes | 19c | 534.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 520$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 16c | 440.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 400.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes | 18c | 383.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes | 28c | 358.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 5c | 305.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…7ec4backed Yes | 16c | 288.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 15c | 285.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 77c | 260$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 23c | 246$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 16c | 206.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 15c | 201.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 19c | 187.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…4aa6backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6e…bd19backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 9c | 149.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes | 16c | 148$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes | 15c | 146.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 27c | 145.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 14c | 145.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed Yes | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Yes | 16c | 123.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 119$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Yes | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 16c | 111.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…a6afbacked Yes | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 93.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…9dedbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5b…5253backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…1297backed Yes | 24c | 82.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 16c | 69.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 62.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…227dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2329…727abacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb74…090dbacked Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…2093backed Yes | 24c | 56.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed No | 75c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked No | 78c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw?this page
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.