Premier League · resolved market
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e5be0d38ec353ce5490bb884630fb13b56c65ca2e528d6ac54e59d4b1cd3207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,480 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 60c | 1,006$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 44c | 979.82$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.29 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 10c | 600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ec…9d9bbacked No | 62c | 585.96$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 39c | 429.42$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.85 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed No | 57c | 386.83$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 59c | 373.54$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.93 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 47c | 299.96$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.98 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 285.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 43c | 279.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 61c | 258.31$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Yes | 45c | 219.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 53c | 106.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 102.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked No | 60c | 86.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…66e2backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 56c | 63.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 62.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea9…b90dbacked Yes | 49c | 61.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 57.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 40c | 54.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 48c | 52.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 43c | 42.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 44c | 40.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…f012backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 32.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…bb75backed Yes | 43c | 27.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…49e5backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab84…8c0fbacked No | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4b66backed No | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Mansfield Town FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Mansfield Town FC won
- Spread: Mansfield Town FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Mansfield Town FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.