Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ba64b98ab5d6c44971f352c0ad6f72c6b5ac3a387b7678fb86e6bd08a6404f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mansfield Town FCof Arsenal FC, Mansfield Town FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,484 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 110,398$49,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,013.57 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mansfield Town FC | 57c | 51,400$29,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,980.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 16,650$9,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,442.3 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 11,827$6,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270.09 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Mansfield Town FC | 56c | 9,833$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.43 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Arsenal FC | 46c | 8,700$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC | 49c | 8,540$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.49 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 8,062$4,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.97 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 7,433$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.82 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 4,547$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.86 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Mansfield Town FC | 54c | 3,584$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mansfield Town FC | 54c | 3,192$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.31 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mansfield Town FC | 53c | 2,811$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Mansfield Town FC | 46c | 2,628$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 2,620$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Mansfield Town FC | 48c | 2,387$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Mansfield Town FC | 56c | 2,290$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.43 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mansfield Town FC | 54c | 2,208$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.65 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 2,028$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.68 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Mansfield Town FC | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Mansfield Town FC | 80c | 1,631$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.16 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Mansfield Town FC | 57c | 1,562$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.78 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Arsenal FC | 27c | 1,269$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.89 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Mansfield Town FC | 50c | 1,142$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9a30backed Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 1,065$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 976.32$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.9 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Arsenal FC | 48c | 931.4$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.06 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Arsenal FC | 33c | 877.83$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Mansfield Town FC | 56c | 775.47$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.47 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Arsenal FC | 50c | 761.02$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Arsenal FC | 55c | 612.76$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.02 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Mansfield Town FC | 50c | 546.59$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.83 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Arsenal FC | 55c | 544.13$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.27 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Mansfield Town FC | 45c | 466$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.3 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Mansfield Town FC | 57c | 416.8$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked Arsenal FC | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 405.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Mansfield Town FC | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Mansfield Town FC | 58c | 379.13$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Arsenal FC | 41c | 357.37$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 287.57$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Mansfield Town FC | 56c | 287.57$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.53 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 263.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 252$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Mansfield Town FC | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 244.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.57 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Mansfield Town FC | 57c | 234.44$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Arsenal FC | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Arsenal FC | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 214$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Arsenal FC | 45c | 201.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Mansfield Town FC | 57c | 200.64$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Arsenal FC | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…1374backed Mansfield Town FC | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +107%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17a7…e494backed Arsenal FC | 36c | 195.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Mansfield Town FC | 50c | 190.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 181.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f0…1b9bbacked Mansfield Town FC | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Mansfield Town FC | 50c | 150.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Mansfield Town FC | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mansfield Town FC | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Arsenal FC | 45c | 146.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Arsenal FC | 46c | 141.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Arsenal FC | 14c | 127.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Arsenal FC | 47c | 120.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Mansfield Town FC | 57c | 116.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Arsenal FC | 55c | 105.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 101.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Mansfield Town FC | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 98.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Arsenal FC | 14c | 95.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Arsenal FC | 30c | 95.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Mansfield Town FC | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Mansfield Town FC | 61c | 76.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Mansfield Town FC | 70c | 74.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…560dbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Mansfield Town FC | 56c | 71.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Mansfield Town FC | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Arsenal FC | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Arsenal FC | 15c | 68.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Mansfield Town FC | 54c | 66.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 65.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Arsenal FC | 43c | 64.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 61.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Mansfield Town FC | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Mansfield Town FC | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Mansfield Town FC | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Mansfield Town FC | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)this page
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Mansfield Town FC won
- Spread: Mansfield Town FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Mansfield Town FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.