TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mansfield Town FCof Arsenal FC, Mansfield Town FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,945 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Mansfield Town FC35c26,204$9,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,961.496,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Arsenal FC68c14,699$9,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,995.6111349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC70c6,002$4,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,185.2210636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mansfield Town FC33c3,265$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.5646943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a8…6c88backed Arsenal FC70c2,853$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Arsenal FC70c2,146$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Arsenal FC69c1,594$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Arsenal FC41c1,314$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.6812020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Mansfield Town FC30c1,214$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.0333057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Arsenal FC70c1,200$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83620750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Arsenal FC76c1,195$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.528242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Mansfield Town FC29c836.48$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.631,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mansfield Town FC29c758$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.0621056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Arsenal FC69c726.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Arsenal FC69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-20.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Arsenal FC72c555.56$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Mansfield Town FC26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3707268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbbca…9863backed Arsenal FC56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Mansfield Town FC22c476$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.284156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Arsenal FC41c438.1$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.681118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-47%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Mansfield Town FC69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.781861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Mansfield Town FC33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x791d…c32bbacked Mansfield Town FC31c387.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+86.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Mansfield Town FC35c371.66$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9511450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Arsenal FC35c291$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.632142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Mansfield Town FC34c278.72$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0975850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Mansfield Town FC27c249.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.491,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Arsenal FC68c230$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.49840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Arsenal FC48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Arsenal FC8c175.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.011,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Mansfield Town FC32c169.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6623250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Mansfield Town FC37c165$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.953056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Mansfield Town FC27c163.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Mansfield Town FC39c153.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5920758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Arsenal FC73c150.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Mansfield Town FC30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Mansfield Town FC26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11159958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Mansfield Town FC30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Arsenal FC67c148.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Arsenal FC65c148$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.24235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5734…698bbacked Arsenal FC68c139.9$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Mansfield Town FC27c136.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Arsenal FC73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003560%21 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb7…7828backed Arsenal FC69c118.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4830%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Mansfield Town FC41c110.92$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8882763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Arsenal FC68c110.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754040%16 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Mansfield Town FC34c103.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d3…2d0fbacked Arsenal FC68c100.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.032245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Arsenal FC65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656845.6%31 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Arsenal FC29c99.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9719834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Arsenal FC60c91.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1324340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Arsenal FC71c84.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Mansfield Town FC26c70$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2738…602cbacked Arsenal FC69c66.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Mansfield Town FC26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.433156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Mansfield Town FC30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Mansfield Town FC26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.432255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Mansfield Town FC30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Mansfield Town FC30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Arsenal FC74c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.44242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Mansfield Town FC26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Mansfield Town FC29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.638358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Mansfield Town FC30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4231557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Mansfield Town FC33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.237958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Mansfield Town FC26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.432158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f90…217cbacked Arsenal FC72c55.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Mansfield Town FC30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3529657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Mansfield Town FC30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2527661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Mansfield Town FC30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3536259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba2b…0c59backed Mansfield Town FC27c45.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.351233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Arsenal FC57c42.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4225348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Arsenal FC71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013550.4%68 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Arsenal FC68c42.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb9…1418backed Arsenal FC80c41.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Arsenal FC36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511630.2%35 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c2…a53dbacked Arsenal FC65c41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.651650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83f6…62f8backed Arsenal FC66c40.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.924360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Mansfield Town FC26c40.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.019272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Arsenal FC48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Arsenal FC69c39.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.423946.2%18 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Mansfield Town FC44c39.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Arsenal FC71c39.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Arsenal FC71c39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5119455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Arsenal FC40c36.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.662015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid+19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Mansfield Town FC31c35.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8732345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Mansfield Town FC36c33.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.515563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3267…da9ebacked Arsenal FC70c32.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Mansfield Town FC43c31.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mansfield Town FC59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4320956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Arsenal FC68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Arsenal FC68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208846.6%41 W · 47 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Arsenal FC75c28.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.213630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Arsenal FC72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Mansfield Town FC60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb94c…3c05backed Arsenal FC67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Arsenal FC69c21.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.541330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x879f…f155backed Arsenal FC58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfda0…b41bbacked Arsenal FC67c17.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Arsenal FC69c15.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.