TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,846 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c3,889$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.7524245%109 W · 133 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c2,594$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.74,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over47c2,550$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.62524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c2,419$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.8450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under52c2,400$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.98650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under54c2,182$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.866460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9618…6409backed Over47c2,129$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over29c2,013$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5771030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over30c1,500$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.925330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over49c1,488$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under53c1,482$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.533046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over35c1,425$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.753847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under53c1,412$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.53580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+72.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc1…f823backed Over29c1,238$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03a0…e52abacked Over36c1,217$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over47c1,055$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.016848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4904254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Under53c999.15$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.62060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Under54c900.17$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.98366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c898.42$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.723,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over46c880.63$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.912,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over49c874.98$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.747750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over48c873.58$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.322638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under53c867$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.49757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under53c856.8$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.73342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over41c854.1$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Under52c713.97$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.719956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under62c700$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2665366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over46c664.86$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8450949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.921573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c584$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9126550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.562665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over47c539$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8110629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over49c511.49$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under52c406.01$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5311146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under51c399.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1963540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c372.97$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14922939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under55c344$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3120449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over47c315.32$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.213263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over48c312.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2311741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.464454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under51c240$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.614950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under72c239.89$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.081,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca06…1394backed Over48c231.59$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under53c229.67$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.951662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over44c227.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.058236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over48c220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.62969%20 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over48c208.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9842557.9%246 W · 179 L+1.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over34c185.29$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over46c181.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c177.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.41,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over36c175$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9412755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.511636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1a…06febacked Over48c149.24$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over33c131.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9984939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c129.94$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.331,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under53c129.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8128847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under56c129$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0613249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c125$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.542558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under53c120.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.396160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over48c117.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.253540%14 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Under53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.211154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…b7debacked Under53c112.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over50c100.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.213251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3162744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4919751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over46c97.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8144524.3%108 W · 337 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c96.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1532145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over47c85.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2220541.5%85 W · 120 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.212554.4%68 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.212654%68 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over48c79.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.311855.9%66 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.96741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under53c68.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1917032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under53c66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.023727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1fb…90c7backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306349.2%31 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.