La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe2b8859f48ceb4a7faa112a4a8b07905593ed2ab095a2ff3c66231d86dc84e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Levante UDof Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, Levante UD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Levante UD | 71c | 9,339$6,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 30c | 8,561$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.22 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Levante UD | 69c | 1,643$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.04 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 31c | 1,148$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 30c | 1,127$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.99 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 26c | 898$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.81 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 31c | 675.04$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Levante UD | 69c | 595.65$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Levante UD | 70c | 578$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 31c | 311.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 22c | 299.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 32c | 263.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Levante UD | 70c | 249.9$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 30c | 244$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Levante UD | 68c | 224.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…7bd6backed Levante UD | 70c | 147.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 32c | 116.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Levante UD | 70c | 107.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 26c | 102.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…09fcbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Levante UD | 70c | 99.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Levante UD | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Levante UD | 70c | 72.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…d06cbacked Levante UD | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Levante UD | 71c | 69.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 32c | 67.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Levante UD | 70c | 57.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Levante UD | 71c | 53.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 32c | 53.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 30c | 41.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Levante UD | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Levante UD | 70c | 33.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…d9fabacked Levante UD | 70c | 26.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Levante UD | 70c | 25.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Levante UD | 73c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.