TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over50c100,000$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,0002035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c58,416$27,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,480.044,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under50c40,078$20,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,039.0110948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under46c6,670$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.271330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over14c1,979$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.4322753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over36c1,753$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.385520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked Over50c1,610$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.411353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c1,510$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.412,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under47c1,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3907750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Over23c1,435$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.171450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over74c1,420$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.411146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over74c1,357$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.8213263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under26c1,324$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8150149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,215$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.15533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,193$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.261,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over37c1,186$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7435330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c1,088$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.713,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under28c1,043$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6517032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Under14c1,034$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4411336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Under80c1,027$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46ee…bb0abacked Under22c1,014$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under27c1,003$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4410629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ed…2c6dbacked Under1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over54c996.8$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.324452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbd…1ec9backed Over64c899.99$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c842.14$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.941,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bce…a18cbacked Over46c830.97$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.075100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.674445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over74c818$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0426550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5be9…8e34backed Under13c700$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over53c589.78$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.13557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under26c562.51$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6e…d043backed Over73c562.04$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under48c555.1$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.1541147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.546478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under2c501.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0450%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under27c481.48$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.771030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under13c465$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.15248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under13c450$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.52913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under25c435.68$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9289050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under13c430.85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.396512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over18c430.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.0483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under26c420.57$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3532645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Under33c406.06$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1343040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over75c401.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.81752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under27c382.72$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7918842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under43c366.08$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.414755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over74c350.28$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2838748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.833161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ec…ae94backed Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+43.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f7c…867bbacked Under26c304.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…d8d8backed Over74c304.05$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under49c293.43$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7213648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over74c292.8$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1312875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over60c291.32$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.531471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under75c286.16$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4228446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6915646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid+7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over46c245.2$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4128357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over43c236.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over53c233.96$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9615446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c230$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over72c220.74$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8135148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under26c220$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.27553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under47c219.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.622060%12 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under71c213$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.234971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over69c206.63$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.428847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Over75c200.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.196752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+63.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over63c199.44$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4417466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under35c191.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0744424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Over73c177.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.972445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed Over46c169$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.141936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over30c164.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.242828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x068b…2106backed Over75c150.43$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.091040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over50c144.93$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.366259.7%37 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1413668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under26c133.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.221,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f07…c4f7backed Under28c120.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under14c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.26412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under14c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.29611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under48c116.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0927850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under57c103$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1113251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Under24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.78143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Under28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over53c98.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.113737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under25c95.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over70c92.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8810761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under54c92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.681457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.