Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1142d01fbf511b45c4e81993d574d86281f7f7aac877677f3392eab46052d569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,208 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked No | 57c | 77,913$44,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,742.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 44c | 56,818$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…e96dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 16,947$9,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,512.78 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 43c | 16,206$6,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,978.76 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 15,040$8,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,638.09 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 11,148$6,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.83 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 11,000$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.97 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 47c | 9,592$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.73 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Yes | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 17c | 8,600$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 8,326$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.3 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 6,735$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.16 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 43c | 5,578$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.54 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 47c | 4,564$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.93 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 44c | 4,382$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.95 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 44c | 3,910$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.44 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 53c | 3,451$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 3,000$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.22 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 43c | 2,860$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 46c | 2,620$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.98 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 43c | 2,416$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 79c | 2,222$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.59 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 1,843$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.3 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 54c | 1,390$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.37 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.16 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 1,105$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 997.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 56c | 937$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 55c | 866.56$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.95 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 848.72$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.72 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 43c | 799.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 47c | 794$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.18 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Yes | 2c | 735.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed No | 57c | 722.81$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 667.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.44 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 21c | 596.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed Yes | 20c | 590$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 25c | 532.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 500$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 56c | 449.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 56c | 401.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.12 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Yes | 43c | 385.42$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 42c | 359.89$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Yes | 29c | 347.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed No | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 287.74$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 53c | 287.34$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 43c | 264.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 43c | 240.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 56c | 230$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 223$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 46c | 219.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 53c | 215$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 56c | 210$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…af4abacked Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…4d78backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.