Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb588e652bb12e4d46e348a74895afb94f88925aa95e3de5f94bfcbe89c16e0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,669 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 33,752$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.18 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 68c | 22,356$15,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,159.06 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 15,382$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.65 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 70c | 8,680$6,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105.58 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 71c | 6,790$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 6,061$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.97 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Yes | 30c | 3,480$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 2,872$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.3 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,494$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.98 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…5822backed Yes | 30c | 1,304$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed No | 71c | 1,281$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 1,119$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.24 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 2c | 1,077$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 1,076$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 30c | 876.67$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 27c | 820.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.67 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 23c | 820.53$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 807.84$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.51 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Yes | 30c | 723.33$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 73c | 700$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes | 30c | 680$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed No | 71c | 569.32$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 73c | 557.35$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 8c | 543.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked No | 71c | 507.92$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…ebdebacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed No | 46c | 448.32$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 30c | 419.77$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 29c | 400.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.01 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Yes | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 297.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.57 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 297.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.91 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 29c | 280.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 47c | 269.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 220$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 21c | 208.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 49c | 204.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 27c | 185.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 29c | 167.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed No | 71c | 141.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 27c | 141$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 53c | 120.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed No | 71c | 119.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 55c | 117.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 113$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked No | 71c | 110.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…f96dbacked Yes | 28c | 110.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed No | 71c | 110.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 71c | 106.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 29c | 105.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked No | 74c | 105.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…af4abacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked No | 71c | 99.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 72c | 99.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 44c | 95.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked No | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed No | 71c | 77.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 70c | 76.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed No | 71c | 73.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed No | 71c | 72.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd76b…1d4dbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…fc0dbacked No | 71c | 61.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 29c | 60.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked No | 71c | 58.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…4f09backed No | 71c | 53.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 46c | 50.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 29c | 49.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…b960backed Yes | 53c | 44.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…c3f1backed No | 73c | 43.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed No | 71c | 42.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…47f0backed No | 71c | 40.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…1ca9backed No | 73c | 37.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked No | 71c | 35.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.